Lol · resolved market

LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd00351d4ea83148ce9aa5d0758d84d33c5ac178f7254e9606c30168b1885fee6

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: RED Canidsof RED Canids, Fluxo W7M
Resolved: Apr 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $54,370
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $64,586

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,370 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6eb0…a15cbacked Fluxo W7M	2c	11,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	85	3.5%3 W · 82 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-87.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Fluxo W7M	36c	5,000$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,799.99	903	48.4%437 W · 466 L	+14.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked RED Canids	64c	4,949$3,168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,781.79	2,825	41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L	-14.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked RED Canids	78c	3,117$2,428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$689.39	599	52.8%316 W · 283 L	-3.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked Fluxo W7M	32c	2,608$823 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$822.77	672	50.9%342 W · 330 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Fluxo W7M	29c	1,608$473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.54	1,258	38.6%485 W · 773 L	-61.8wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Fluxo W7M	33c	1,462$489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.82	1,592	53.7%855 W · 737 L	+57.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Fluxo W7M	37c	1,444$533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$532.73	1,067	47%502 W · 565 L	+3.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed RED Canids	63c	1,400$882 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$518	397	50.1%199 W · 198 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Fluxo W7M	37c	1,325$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.24	1,305	55.9%729 W · 576 L	+44.4wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Fluxo W7M	35c	1,318$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461.14	1,435	57.4%824 W · 611 L	+36.0wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked RED Canids	78c	1,226$956 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.67	486	52.1%253 W · 233 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Fluxo W7M	37c	1,179$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$441.29	959	51.3%492 W · 467 L	+42.8wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Fluxo W7M	34c	1,029$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.19	1,229	45.1%554 W · 675 L	+48.5wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Fluxo W7M	37c	1,000$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370	712	49.2%350 W · 362 L	+14.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Fluxo W7M	36c	999.99$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	1,029	52.3%538 W · 491 L	+27.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x509d…0a6bbacked RED Canids	66c	977.94$645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$332.6	670	56.9%381 W · 289 L	+17.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked RED Canids	71c	909.03$647 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261.54	1,536	62.6%961 W · 575 L	+157.8wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked RED Canids	70c	856.18$599 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.85	1,485	50.1%744 W · 741 L	+67.0wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed RED Canids	63c	776.04$489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287.13	392	46.4%182 W · 210 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked RED Canids	66c	750$495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255	1,216	44.4%540 W · 676 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed RED Canids	65c	718.16$469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.64	742	50.5%375 W · 367 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked RED Canids	63c	696.54$439 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.72	1,003	42.5%426 W · 577 L	-24.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Fluxo W7M	13c	614.71$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.51	950	41.6%395 W · 555 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Fluxo W7M	37c	603.03$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.9	1,212	54.5%660 W · 552 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed RED Canids	65c	589.34$382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.92	854	42.7%365 W · 489 L	-14.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked RED Canids	63c	588.38$371 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.7	1,598	42.4%677 W · 921 L	-17.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed Fluxo W7M	38c	541$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.58	1,003	54%542 W · 461 L	+15.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Fluxo W7M	34c	478.51$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.18	704	56.4%397 W · 307 L	+39.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Fluxo W7M	11c	473.3$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.06	563	41%231 W · 332 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked RED Canids	62c	386.59$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.9	820	44%361 W · 459 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked RED Canids	64c	377.56$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.92	732	37.7%276 W · 456 L	-51.5wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed RED Canids	71c	373.29$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.25	151	48.3%73 W · 78 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed RED Canids	78c	358.3$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.22	288	55.9%161 W · 127 L	+11.5wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d07…8b9ebacked RED Canids	66c	350$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118	440	47.5%209 W · 231 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Fluxo W7M	22c	339.99$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.8	761	42%320 W · 441 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Fluxo W7M	29c	330.83$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.94	1,156	49.1%568 W · 588 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed RED Canids	70c	300$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	305	43%131 W · 174 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked RED Canids	66c	300$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	1,155	68.1%786 W · 369 L	+35.1wins	+0.03per pick	65cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed RED Canids	65c	256.62$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.87	3,131	33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L	-150.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed RED Canids	71c	254.13$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.7	1,521	50.6%769 W · 752 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked RED Canids	79c	249.44$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.93	1,663	59.5%990 W · 673 L	+98.5wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Fluxo W7M	23c	244.63$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.19	2,679	35.7%957 W · 1,722 L	-153.5wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Fluxo W7M	29c	242.49$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.17	3,584	40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L	+31.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Fluxo W7M	21c	231.1$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.29	1,728	29.5%509 W · 1,219 L	-123.2wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Fluxo W7M	10c	225.74$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.72	1,731	44.2%765 W · 966 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Fluxo W7M	29c	210.63$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.08	2,226	37.5%834 W · 1,392 L	-29.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed RED Canids	71c	200$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59	1,794	51.1%917 W · 877 L	+50.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Fluxo W7M	31c	196.67$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.68	131	37.4%49 W · 82 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3333…3c23backed Fluxo W7M	34c	181.42$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.44	280	42.5%119 W · 161 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed RED Canids	63c	178.24$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.72	147	32%47 W · 100 L	-13.0wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Fluxo W7M	18c	166.73$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.33	1,831	17.1%313 W · 1,518 L	-236.0wins	-0.13per pick	30cpaid	-46%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6cc8…67f7backed RED Canids	62c	157.61$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.89	247	59.1%146 W · 101 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked RED Canids	64c	152.88$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.04	185	42.2%78 W · 107 L	-10.4wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x398d…b8d6backed RED Canids	68c	143.35$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.25	644	51.2%330 W · 314 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed RED Canids	70c	137.06$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.05	2,905	38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L	-118.5wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed RED Canids	68c	110$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.2	2,156	53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L	+57.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Fluxo W7M	32c	105.51$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.76	1,241	34.7%431 W · 810 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Fluxo W7M	29c	104.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.38	1,468	28.9%424 W · 1,044 L	+23.5wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Fluxo W7M	30c	96.01$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	456	18.9%86 W · 370 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Fluxo W7M	30c	95.8$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.74	457	39.6%181 W · 276 L	-37.5wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e7c…c4c5backed RED Canids	76c	90.9$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.82	212	67%142 W · 70 L	+16.3wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+11%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked RED Canids	64c	90.01$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.4	95	56.8%54 W · 41 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ee9…20a2backed RED Canids	67c	86.28$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.49	123	49.6%61 W · 62 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked RED Canids	62c	78.81$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.95	114	50.9%58 W · 56 L	+6.0wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd87f…ec76backed RED Canids	71c	74.04$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.47	20	55%11 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	63cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed RED Canids	70c	69.35$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.87	1,643	44.4%730 W · 913 L	-42.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-14%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked Fluxo W7M	30c	66.49$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.95	306	32%98 W · 208 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x872c…40e0backed RED Canids	70c	64.3$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.29	51	35.3%18 W · 33 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed RED Canids	62c	58.98$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.41	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+2.1wins	+0.16per pick	45cpaid	+35.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0ac…0317backed RED Canids	69c	58.87$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.45	50	58%29 W · 21 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4150…4395backed RED Canids	66c	57.8$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.65	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4c8…86b4backed RED Canids	71c	51.76$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.01	191	57.1%109 W · 82 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ed5…8165backed RED Canids	71c	49.82$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.45	348	44.8%156 W · 192 L	-12.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f38…4ddbbacked RED Canids	67c	48.13$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.11	196	44.9%88 W · 108 L	-16.5wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e51…71d4backed RED Canids	62c	47.28$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.97	176	58%102 W · 74 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Fluxo W7M	24c	47.1$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.3	1,924	35.9%691 W · 1,233 L	-97.7wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d64…527ebacked RED Canids	64c	38.22$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.76	625	58.7%367 W · 258 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed RED Canids	78c	34.06$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.66	549	44.4%244 W · 305 L	+10.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x569a…843cbacked RED Canids	65c	30.07$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.43	45	51.1%23 W · 22 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed RED Canids	74c	30$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.86	2,495	47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L	-32.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked RED Canids	75c	28.68$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.04	416	51.2%213 W · 203 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7be…908dbacked RED Canids	62c	27.83$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.58	38	50%19 W · 19 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed RED Canids	71c	15.1$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.43	493	66.7%329 W · 164 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	69cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 Winnerthis page
Game Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)RED Canids won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonRED Canids won
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 WinnerRED Canids won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event