Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29b863ce9a85eaa49d4c0d9fe06db0845bdd56b633bf191c77ccbe2395b9881c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RED Canidsof RED Canids, Fluxo W7M
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked RED Canids | 52c | 10,110$5,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,854.12 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Fluxo W7M | 48c | 3,093$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.93 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked Fluxo W7M | 48c | 2,409$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.51 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Fluxo W7M | 48c | 2,260$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.85 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Fluxo W7M | 48c | 1,942$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932 | 264 | 48.5%128 W · 136 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed RED Canids | 52c | 1,876$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.47 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed RED Canids | 53c | 1,284$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.27 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Fluxo W7M | 48c | 1,197$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.5 | 242 | 35.5%86 W · 156 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed RED Canids | 53c | 1,049$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.09 | 495 | 49.1%243 W · 252 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fluxo W7M | 23c | 929.97$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.89 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Fluxo W7M | 48c | 730.19$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.49 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed RED Canids | 52c | 480$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa033…4938backed Fluxo W7M | 48c | 410.77$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.17 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Fluxo W7M | 48c | 403.66$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6742…fdf7backed Fluxo W7M | 48c | 373.39$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Fluxo W7M | 48c | 339.08$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.76 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e08…f3c8backed Fluxo W7M | 48c | 304.68$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed Fluxo W7M | 48c | 298.71$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.38 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked Fluxo W7M | 48c | 289.67$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.04 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Fluxo W7M | 48c | 249.95$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.98 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Fluxo W7M | 49c | 235.11$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.04 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed RED Canids | 53c | 182.7$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.87 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Fluxo W7M | 48c | 165$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed Fluxo W7M | 48c | 147.34$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…513dbacked Fluxo W7M | 50c | 146.06$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.55 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 46cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed RED Canids | 51c | 130$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Fluxo W7M | 48c | 110.44$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked RED Canids | 53c | 109.03$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 793 | 45.4%360 W · 433 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed RED Canids | 52c | 101.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed RED Canids | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Fluxo W7M | 48c | 89.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -13.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x872c…40e0backed RED Canids | 52c | 86.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Fluxo W7M | 47c | 85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked Fluxo W7M | 48c | 78.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a0…1145backed RED Canids | 53c | 71.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea5…1bd5backed RED Canids | 53c | 54.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Fluxo W7M | 37c | 43.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Fluxo W7M | 49c | 25.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…39e1backed RED Canids | 51c | 24.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x049d…cc0dbacked RED Canids | 55c | 23.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonRED Canids won
- LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 WinnerRED Canids won
- LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 WinnerRED Canids won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.