Other European Leagues · resolved market
Fortuna Sittard vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c51cbb06e53e6098f849a29ee1d4ee97875db4af8fdf75243115c74a27e4eac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Over | 62c | 2,184$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.02 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…13b5backed Under | 36c | 999.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 64c | 743.13$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.53 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 46c | 665.11$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.2 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 76c | 510.5$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.88 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 37c | 454.86$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.3 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 19c | 402.44$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.17 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 50c | 356$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 37c | 346.12$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.06 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 38c | 240$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 38c | 211.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.27 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 40c | 195.66$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.95 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 38c | 187.26$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.33 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 56c | 179$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.76 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 38c | 160$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 64c | 145.75$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 38c | 140$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 42c | 139.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 62c | 125$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 38c | 84.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 64c | 78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 38c | 52.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…a10ebacked Under | 28c | 39.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 62c | 36.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 39c | 32.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…8fbfbacked Over | 61c | 32.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 62c | 31.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 70 | 75.7%53 W · 17 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 40c | 29.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Over | 64c | 29.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Under | 40c | 28.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Over | 62c | 26.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 57c | 25.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fortuna Sittard vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 2.5this page
- Fortuna Sittard vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fortuna Sittard vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5Over won
- Fortuna Sittard vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Fortuna Sittard (-1.5)PEC Zwolle won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.