Other European Leagues · resolved market
Fortuna Sittard vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f360f4376ca176c777e6c83d4b069ef2ac98f1c10762f7e4bbdf84ea50ee8da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 32c | 2,317$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.17 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb585…53edbacked Under | 62c | 1,947$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Over | 70c | 1,833$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.3 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 46c | 1,005$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.44 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 889.69$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.41 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 47c | 735.65$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.89 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 723.02$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.87 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 35c | 359.73$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.4 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 64c | 305$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.85 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 63c | 165.01$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.71 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 105.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.97 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 42c | 104.76$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.76 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 45c | 96.32$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 54c | 85.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 49c | 85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 54c | 72.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 51c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 49c | 43.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fortuna Sittard vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5this page
- Fortuna Sittard vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fortuna Sittard vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fortuna Sittard vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Fortuna Sittard (-1.5)PEC Zwolle won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.