Tennis · resolved market
ITF Brisbane: Ymerali Ibraimi vs Derek Pham
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cd608b4d7bda0791557af861948b1d3483808cd512314d9186161224aee727b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Derek Phamof Ymerali Ibraimi, Derek Pham
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x70ad…ae4bbacked Derek Pham | 61c | 8,200$5,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,170.93 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Derek Pham | 44c | 5,828$2,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,243.33 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Ymerali Ibraimi | 57c | 2,994$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.03 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ymerali Ibraimi | 39c | 2,529$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.81 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Ymerali Ibraimi | 37c | 1,692$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.04 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Ymerali Ibraimi | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 378 | 49.2%186 W · 192 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Ymerali Ibraimi | 34c | 1,064$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.55 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ymerali Ibraimi | 40c | 705.12$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.46 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Ymerali Ibraimi | 39c | 674.53$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.36 | 373 | 30.3%113 W · 260 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ymerali Ibraimi | 32c | 376.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.43 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Ymerali Ibraimi | 64c | 307.95$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 1,785 | 48.7%869 W · 916 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Ymerali Ibraimi | 46c | 247.83$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Ymerali Ibraimi | 42c | 223.81$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1,053 | 40.9%431 W · 622 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Ymerali Ibraimi | 38c | 201.03$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.76 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Derek Pham | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.52 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Ymerali Ibraimi | 62c | 126.87$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.36 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Derek Pham | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 179 | 72.6%130 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Derek Pham | 37c | 120$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Ymerali Ibraimi | 31c | 109$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Derek Pham | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Derek Pham | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Ymerali Ibraimi | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 962 | 55.8%537 W · 425 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Ymerali Ibraimi | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 897 | 54.6%490 W · 407 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Ymerali Ibraimi | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 956 | 55.9%534 W · 422 L | +19.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Ymerali Ibraimi | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,000 | 49.8%498 W · 502 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Ymerali Ibraimi | 34c | 97.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Ymerali Ibraimi | 58c | 91.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Ymerali Ibraimi | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Ymerali Ibraimi | 58c | 87.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Ymerali Ibraimi | 39c | 76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Ymerali Ibraimi | 58c | 74.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Ymerali Ibraimi | 54c | 73.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Derek Pham | 37c | 70$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Ymerali Ibraimi | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Ymerali Ibraimi | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 418 | 51.7%216 W · 202 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Ymerali Ibraimi | 58c | 51.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 215 | 54%116 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c8…190abacked Derek Pham | 51c | 48.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Ymerali Ibraimi | 55c | 45.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 429 | 51.3%220 W · 209 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Ymerali Ibraimi | 63c | 42.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Ymerali Ibraimi | 67c | 40.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Ymerali Ibraimi | 64c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 172 | 42.4%73 W · 99 L | -17.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Ymerali Ibraimi | 51c | 39.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Derek Pham | 39c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…24b9backed Derek Pham | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 132 | 76.5%101 W · 31 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Derek Pham | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Ymerali Ibraimi | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 683 | 38.2%261 W · 422 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7d…ae38backed Ymerali Ibraimi | 69c | 17.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.