Asian League · resolved market
Jeju SK FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cf2f5b57994b0f59b4f4c9e1aedea9932c3773e65406acaf241162bbfcef35d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 42c | 1,999$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.65 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 62c | 682.87$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.79 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 42c | 652.54$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.04 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 58c | 483.01$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.86 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 355.1$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.78 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 37c | 313.47$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.62 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 58c | 303.63$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.52 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 26c | 299.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -54%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 58c | 260$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Under | 74c | 259.64$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.51 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 58c | 257.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.63 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 57c | 242.01$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.06 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 59c | 192.74$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.02 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 69c | 179.11$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 58c | 160$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 59c | 120.93$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.86 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 58c | 118.22$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.11 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Over | 44c | 101.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 62c | 73.74$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 62c | 53.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 38c | 52.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 40c | 42.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 58c | 36.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over | 37c | 34.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 58c | 34.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…3b36backed Under | 58c | 19.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 58c | 19.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 58c | 17.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed Under | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jeju SK FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Jeju SK FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-1.5)Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.