Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Fuego vs Contra (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d4d5deeabfedf892c671e109455a2d4fbbc5765bd24a2f7d130160bf01b5fa2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fuegoof Fuego, Contra
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Contra | 64c | 3,000$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.36 | 242 | 50.4%122 W · 120 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Fuego | 37c | 2,567$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.24 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Fuego | 37c | 1,308$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.47 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Fuego | 40c | 955.1$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.7 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Fuego | 47c | 514.21$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.69 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Contra | 64c | 395.39$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.12 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd976…7636backed Contra | 59c | 336.75$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.32 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…5d2bbacked Contra | 61c | 329$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.69 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Contra | 60c | 315.04$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.93 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Contra | 61c | 289.62$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.63 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Contra | 68c | 273.71$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.98 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Contra | 48c | 234.61$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.85 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Contra | 54c | 182.13$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 238 | 36.1%86 W · 152 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Contra | 61c | 180$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Contra | 55c | 172.63$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.27 | 140 | 32.9%46 W · 94 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked Contra | 78c | 156.55$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.47 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Fuego | 62c | 137.78$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.78 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…a3c1backed Fuego | 35c | 122.14$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Contra | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Contra | 29c | 82.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Contra | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239c…f7c2backed Contra | 26c | 68.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Fuego | 18c | 60.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.43 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Contra | 60c | 54.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Fuego | 39c | 52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9931…ea8cbacked Fuego | 39c | 51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Contra | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Fuego | 44c | 49.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Fuego | 40c | 47.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Contra | 52c | 43.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Contra | 64c | 42.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Fuego | 39c | 40.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…7ef8backed Contra | 61c | 37.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Contra | 65c | 36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 159 | 73%116 W · 43 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Contra | 48c | 35.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 183 | 3.3%6 W · 177 L | -73.1wins | -0.40per pick | 43cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 11-0.35 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Fuego | 36c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 164 | 20.1%33 W · 131 L | -20.1wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Contra | 50c | 33.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -18.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Contra | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d70…ae13backed Fuego | 39c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Contra | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Fuego | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Contra | 47c | 24.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Fuego | 46c | 24.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7070…821cbacked Contra | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d5…2c23backed Contra | 76c | 19.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 113 | 67.3%76 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Fuego vs Contra (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular Seasonthis page
- Valorant: Fuego vs Contra - Map 1 WinnerContra won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.