NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d59c8b5203aa65fb05c5c11d3c0d40eaf5e4a97bd96cc526e0ce07d14edb812
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Penguins, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Penguins | 6c | 993.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 65c | 862.81$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.41 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Penguins | 9c | 792.39$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.61 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Capitals | 64c | 723.95$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.62 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Penguins | 35c | 660$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.4 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Capitals | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.12 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Penguins | 35c | 429$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.15 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Penguins | 35c | 399.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Penguins | 36c | 370$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Penguins | 32c | 322.13$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.56 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…3773backed Capitals | 65c | 307$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.38 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2d…d44dbacked Penguins | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…e592backed Penguins | 34c | 234.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Penguins | 34c | 221.86$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.07 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Capitals | 65c | 214.08$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.93 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…3917backed Capitals | 65c | 186.75$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Penguins | 34c | 174.15$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Capitals | 63c | 158$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Penguins | 34c | 145.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5755…fe34backed Penguins | 37c | 130.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Penguins | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Penguins | 35c | 124.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…de7bbacked Penguins | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Penguins | 36c | 99.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919f…9dd0backed Penguins | 36c | 96.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Capitals | 75c | 86.58$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…e190backed Capitals | 65c | 82.65$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ca…4304backed Capitals | 65c | 80.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c8…92b2backed Penguins | 35c | 75.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25b7…96d2backed Capitals | 63c | 73.64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Penguins | 35c | 71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Capitals | 66c | 70.49$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60de…0669backed Capitals | 65c | 68.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf734…c613backed Penguins | 37c | 66.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68b5…cf52backed Penguins | 36c | 65.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x523b…1d23backed Capitals | 65c | 61.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Capitals | 79c | 60.03$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c3…f88cbacked Penguins | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d77…b3ffbacked Penguins | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Capitals | 66c | 52.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…2f00backed Capitals | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8175…e4b8backed Capitals | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd722…2b5bbacked Capitals | 67c | 48.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Capitals | 78c | 45.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…c33ebacked Capitals | 78c | 44.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d3…981cbacked Penguins | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Capitals | 63c | 40.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4454…a3cfbacked Penguins | 35c | 38.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…9c86backed Capitals | 67c | 38.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Capitals | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b32…c3b2backed Capitals | 64c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f3…1129backed Penguins | 36c | 36.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…6ddcbacked Capitals | 64c | 36.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2fe3backed Capitals | 64c | 35.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Penguins | 36c | 34.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eed…4c25backed Penguins | 36c | 34.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0e…dc8cbacked Penguins | 36c | 33.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fa…496bbacked Capitals | 64c | 33.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5102…2dc2backed Penguins | 36c | 33.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9f…9419backed Penguins | 33c | 33.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a69…f002backed Penguins | 33c | 33.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc3…cd5dbacked Penguins | 32c | 32.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7442…fdd3backed Penguins | 33c | 32.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…2c00backed Penguins | 34c | 31.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11da…7602backed Capitals | 67c | 31.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Capitals | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 253 | 58.5%148 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aac…4e03backed Penguins | 33c | 30.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…1f2dbacked Capitals | 68c | 30.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf934…9f73backed Capitals | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…589bbacked Penguins | 35c | 28.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…75e1backed Penguins | 35c | 28.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda4…2355backed Capitals | 65c | 27.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +96%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Capitals | 64c | 26.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc7…c4d4backed Capitals | 66c | 24.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…b704backed Capitals | 67c | 24.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…505fbacked Capitals | 67c | 23.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd723…66ecbacked Capitals | 67c | 23.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e4…4d3abacked Capitals | 67c | 22.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5713…ce51backed Capitals | 64c | 21.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…705ebacked Capitals | 66c | 20.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79f1…bfb6backed Capitals | 63c | 20.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc05d…b550backed Capitals | 64c | 20.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x121e…8de7backed Capitals | 65c | 20.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…498cbacked Capitals | 64c | 19.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21be…8c3bbacked Capitals | 65c | 19.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e8…547ebacked Capitals | 65c | 19.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef45…b376backed Capitals | 65c | 19.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0aa…f7acbacked Capitals | 65c | 19.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…c464backed Capitals | 64c | 18.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6767…cf11backed Capitals | 67c | 17.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb6…82acbacked Capitals | 67c | 17.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dc…ce7bbacked Capitals | 65c | 16.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecb…ba28backed Capitals | 66c | 15.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4949…0b0ebacked Capitals | 67c | 15.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x553d…8282backed Capitals | 66c | 15.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…f4eebacked Capitals | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed Capitals | 74c | 14.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 37 | 81.1%30 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.