Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs ALIS VENTORUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3df77bf3cde7fca91c88ee436cf62132056cc697b6015f8d73b34023c81d6766
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ALIS VENTORUSof South America Rejects, ALIS VENTORUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked ALIS VENTORUS | 5c | 3,443$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,270.85 | 692 | 35.3%244 W · 448 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked ALIS VENTORUS | 45c | 2,215$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.32 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed South America Rejects | 55c | 1,521$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.78 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked South America Rejects | 17c | 1,125$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.03 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568c…fbd0backed South America Rejects | 64c | 1,070$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.87 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ALIS VENTORUS | 37c | 838.68$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.68 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked ALIS VENTORUS | 69c | 613.07$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.06 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked South America Rejects | 58c | 493.25$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.29 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked ALIS VENTORUS | 30c | 320.9$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.11 | 907 | 56.1%509 W · 398 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ALIS VENTORUS | 55c | 307.3$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.06 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d0…6450backed ALIS VENTORUS | 30c | 303.33$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.33 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked South America Rejects | 44c | 289.98$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.55 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked ALIS VENTORUS | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked ALIS VENTORUS | 39c | 248.39$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.26 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed ALIS VENTORUS | 15c | 220.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.72 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6a…189bbacked South America Rejects | 71c | 216.15$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.72 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed South America Rejects | 55c | 199.45$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.39 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed ALIS VENTORUS | 73c | 167$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked ALIS VENTORUS | 40c | 155.09$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.26 | 149 | 62.4%93 W · 56 L | +21.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ALIS VENTORUS | 40c | 153.53$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.41 | 1,255 | 49.6%623 W · 632 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked South America Rejects | 50c | 145.89$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.94 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed South America Rejects | 63c | 144.42$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.69 | 252 | 38.9%98 W · 154 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked ALIS VENTORUS | 40c | 134.84$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.43 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked South America Rejects | 55c | 133.38$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.96 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked ALIS VENTORUS | 74c | 120.65$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…fb97backed ALIS VENTORUS | 13c | 109.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.85 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked ALIS VENTORUS | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d95…ed84backed South America Rejects | 56c | 97.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked ALIS VENTORUS | 53c | 93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked South America Rejects | 54c | 91.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 535 | 58.9%315 W · 220 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…db38backed South America Rejects | 54c | 83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce6…6069backed ALIS VENTORUS | 36c | 79.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked ALIS VENTORUS | 56c | 78.68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed ALIS VENTORUS | 33c | 74.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed ALIS VENTORUS | 43c | 69.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed South America Rejects | 56c | 69.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…3d9cbacked South America Rejects | 57c | 52.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…93b0backed South America Rejects | 26c | 51.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 122 | 60.7%74 W · 48 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed South America Rejects | 58c | 46.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…f37abacked South America Rejects | 29c | 45.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed ALIS VENTORUS | 58c | 43.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3188…870bbacked South America Rejects | 62c | 42.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed ALIS VENTORUS | 53c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked South America Rejects | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked South America Rejects | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3091…748dbacked South America Rejects | 51c | 38.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf5…c393backed South America Rejects | 55c | 33.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ba…5dd4backed South America Rejects | 61c | 31.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed South America Rejects | 44c | 22.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked South America Rejects | 69c | 21.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed South America Rejects | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 105 | 71.4%75 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…7349backed South America Rejects | 70c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -57%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: South America Rejects vs ALIS VENTORUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: South America Rejects vs ALIS VENTORUS - Game 1 WinnerALIS VENTORUS won
- Dota 2: South America Rejects vs ALIS VENTORUS - Game 2 WinnerALIS VENTORUS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.