Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs ALIS VENTORUS - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfca8a74f46ff12e05b8b3016c1588c778caaee799cbbb0c4fb99790a839388f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ALIS VENTORUSof South America Rejects, ALIS VENTORUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x913c…39b3backed ALIS VENTORUS | 52c | 7,645$3,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,674.37 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked South America Rejects | 72c | 4,777$3,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,426.06 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…3501backed South America Rejects | 1c | 2,441$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -37%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked ALIS VENTORUS | 39c | 1,608$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.38 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed ALIS VENTORUS | 50c | 1,561$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.51 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked ALIS VENTORUS | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.99 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked South America Rejects | 43c | 1,163$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.57 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked South America Rejects | 36c | 953.73$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.7 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked South America Rejects | 61c | 840.34$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.21 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed ALIS VENTORUS | 30c | 765.26$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.92 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked South America Rejects | 67c | 738.32$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.6 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed South America Rejects | 75c | 658.93$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.42 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked South America Rejects | 67c | 555.35$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.59 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed ALIS VENTORUS | 35c | 554.22$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.12 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed ALIS VENTORUS | 74c | 532.44$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.38 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked South America Rejects | 46c | 436.08$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.44 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed ALIS VENTORUS | 39c | 401.74$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.06 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed South America Rejects | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed ALIS VENTORUS | 38c | 390.94$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.38 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed ALIS VENTORUS | 78c | 283.05$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked ALIS VENTORUS | 34c | 280.51$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.15 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa8…d75fbacked ALIS VENTORUS | 42c | 228.18$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.64 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed South America Rejects | 56c | 217.63$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked South America Rejects | 65c | 158.87$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.43 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed South America Rejects | 63c | 148.41$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.87 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed South America Rejects | 73c | 135.05$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.46 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed South America Rejects | 31c | 132$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +14.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed South America Rejects | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 252 | 38.9%98 W · 154 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed ALIS VENTORUS | 31c | 130.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.71 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | +22.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed ALIS VENTORUS | 55c | 125.28$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed ALIS VENTORUS | 52c | 121$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.52 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked ALIS VENTORUS | 53c | 117$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed South America Rejects | 10c | 116.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ALIS VENTORUS | 36c | 108.41$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.72 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347d…098abacked South America Rejects | 65c | 107.58$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.93 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed South America Rejects | 31c | 104$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked ALIS VENTORUS | 54c | 101.28$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.66 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked ALIS VENTORUS | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…cefdbacked South America Rejects | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked South America Rejects | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked South America Rejects | 64c | 99.37$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked South America Rejects | 65c | 97.83$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed South America Rejects | 63c | 97.8$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.9 | 150 | 64.7%97 W · 53 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed ALIS VENTORUS | 36c | 95.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed South America Rejects | 31c | 93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +15.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed South America Rejects | 31c | 93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…11e1backed South America Rejects | 74c | 92.82$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed South America Rejects | 31c | 79.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked ALIS VENTORUS | 57c | 72.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed South America Rejects | 65c | 70.4$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked South America Rejects | 57c | 70.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked ALIS VENTORUS | 36c | 67.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed South America Rejects | 31c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed South America Rejects | 30c | 65.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked ALIS VENTORUS | 42c | 64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaee9…95e5backed South America Rejects | 22c | 59.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked South America Rejects | 49c | 58.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ALIS VENTORUS | 44c | 58.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed South America Rejects | 31c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x458d…8a59backed ALIS VENTORUS | 27c | 52.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked South America Rejects | 52c | 51.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 285 | 47.4%135 W · 150 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed South America Rejects | 63c | 51.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked South America Rejects | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 545 | 48.4%264 W · 281 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81fe…4089backed South America Rejects | 62c | 50.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed South America Rejects | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +15.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed ALIS VENTORUS | 45c | 49.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked South America Rejects | 71c | 49.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked ALIS VENTORUS | 60c | 48.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked South America Rejects | 47c | 48.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed South America Rejects | 48c | 47.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed South America Rejects | 64c | 45.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1676…ab19backed South America Rejects | 51c | 44.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked South America Rejects | 62c | 38.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ec…2b5ebacked South America Rejects | 62c | 38.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…01e9backed South America Rejects | 46c | 37.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked ALIS VENTORUS | 37c | 36.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 279 | 52.3%146 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed South America Rejects | 34c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed South America Rejects | 57c | 32.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…12e4backed South America Rejects | 46c | 30.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked South America Rejects | 57c | 30.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f7cfbacked South America Rejects | 60c | 30.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…6237backed South America Rejects | 56c | 29.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c1…d56dbacked ALIS VENTORUS | 56c | 29.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed South America Rejects | 37c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +26.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…227bbacked South America Rejects | 67c | 25.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7560…1ee1backed South America Rejects | 42c | 24.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 211 | 33.6%71 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ALIS VENTORUS | 78c | 13.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: South America Rejects vs ALIS VENTORUS - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: South America Rejects vs ALIS VENTORUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group BALIS VENTORUS won
- Dota 2: South America Rejects vs ALIS VENTORUS - Game 1 WinnerALIS VENTORUS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.