Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UNCW Seahawks vs. Elon Phoenix
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e0d0a104a8e0bce274b51898078cc582414badcbee705b75cd3ad3db7ca5732
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNCW Seahawksof UNCW Seahawks, Elon Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Elon Phoenix | 27c | 1,727$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.67 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077e…c5ffbacked Elon Phoenix | 34c | 1,389$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb685…5117backed UNCW Seahawks | 66c | 1,121$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Elon Phoenix | 20c | 900.97$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.05 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed UNCW Seahawks | 67c | 892.99$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.69 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Elon Phoenix | 33c | 799.99$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UNCW Seahawks | 73c | 742.97$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.03 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked Elon Phoenix | 34c | 639.44$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.41 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked UNCW Seahawks | 67c | 614.61$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.82 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked UNCW Seahawks | 67c | 576.5$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.25 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Elon Phoenix | 33c | 447.52$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.68 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Elon Phoenix | 33c | 405$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.65 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed UNCW Seahawks | 67c | 381.03$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.74 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UNCW Seahawks | 64c | 332.31$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.99 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed UNCW Seahawks | 78c | 323.95$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.31 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UNCW Seahawks | 73c | 304.81$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.3 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Elon Phoenix | 35c | 299.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Elon Phoenix | 34c | 220.59$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Elon Phoenix | 36c | 198.61$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.26 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed UNCW Seahawks | 77c | 154.45$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked UNCW Seahawks | 72c | 110.86$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed UNCW Seahawks | 66c | 102.6$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed UNCW Seahawks | 73c | 98.58$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed UNCW Seahawks | 73c | 94.94$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked UNCW Seahawks | 66c | 90.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Elon Phoenix | 33c | 83.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed UNCW Seahawks | 65c | 76.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…4145backed UNCW Seahawks | 67c | 75.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked UNCW Seahawks | 67c | 75.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked UNCW Seahawks | 65c | 68.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Elon Phoenix | 33c | 67.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Elon Phoenix | 21c | 59.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Elon Phoenix | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Elon Phoenix | 24c | 49.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…8a9dbacked UNCW Seahawks | 67c | 44.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UNCW Seahawks | 67c | 40.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Elon Phoenix | 33c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed UNCW Seahawks | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Elon Phoenix | 37c | 34.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked UNCW Seahawks | 65c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked UNCW Seahawks | 65c | 16.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UNCW Seahawks vs. Elon Phoenixthis page
- Spread: UNCW Seahawks (-4.5)UNCW Seahawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.