Cricket · resolved market
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka, Women: Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e8dffa4f98e2fe2a3be158f754dead902893759288022bdcb7b1d81edce588e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bangladeshof Bangladesh, Sri Lanka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Sri Lanka | 0c | 18,623$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…d70abacked Bangladesh | 43c | 7,849$3,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,454.58 | 364 | 45.6%166 W · 198 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4310…cd60backed Sri Lanka | 43c | 5,830$2,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,512.96 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Bangladesh | 43c | 5,147$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,938.89 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…76a5backed Sri Lanka | 17c | 2,942$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.52 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecb6…7fb1backed Bangladesh | 72c | 1,644$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.14 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Bangladesh | 42c | 1,473$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.55 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | +16.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…d3dfbacked Sri Lanka | 74c | 1,325$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.58 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…c38fbacked Bangladesh | 25c | 1,222$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.54 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82e5…7e2fbacked Sri Lanka | 69c | 1,180$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.71 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…3501backed Sri Lanka | 3c | 994.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…7e99backed Sri Lanka | 2c | 973.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Sri Lanka | 29c | 927.92$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.58 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Sri Lanka | 66c | 740.05$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.18 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcd…5573backed Sri Lanka | 11c | 654.62$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.65 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Bangladesh | 74c | 647.87$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.07 | 66 | 74.2%49 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…2381backed Bangladesh | 37c | 581.11$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.95 | 121 | 22.3%27 W · 94 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Bangladesh | 45c | 565.73$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.92 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…f183backed Bangladesh | 36c | 545.21$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +134.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…9f87backed Sri Lanka | 16c | 544.34$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.02 | 147 | 30.6%45 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sri Lanka | 44c | 534.04$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.15 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Sri Lanka | 64c | 468.94$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Bangladesh | 46c | 334.54$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.2 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Sri Lanka | 60c | 311.92$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.35 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…f01dbacked Sri Lanka | 43c | 295.6$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.72 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8417…8a39backed Sri Lanka | 39c | 293.36$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 194 | 27.3%53 W · 141 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe9…0382backed Sri Lanka | 70c | 280.57$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Sri Lanka | 14c | 209.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Sri Lanka | 65c | 199.94$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.96 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Bangladesh | 56c | 197.82$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.94 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…e27cbacked Sri Lanka | 53c | 180.76$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked Sri Lanka | 45c | 176.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.01 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a37…3f61backed Sri Lanka | 61c | 175.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee6d…0c24backed Sri Lanka | 35c | 175.71$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.45 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Bangladesh | 69c | 174.31$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Sri Lanka | 62c | 149.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.69 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Sri Lanka | 61c | 148.2$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.84 | 192 | 65.6%126 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…67f0backed Sri Lanka | 73c | 134.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736b…8da6backed Bangladesh | 39c | 130$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +9.4wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Sri Lanka | 20c | 123.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Sri Lanka | 61c | 116.87$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.29 | 194 | 50%97 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…52e8backed Sri Lanka | 32c | 113.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Bangladesh | 35c | 102.73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5987…e287backed Sri Lanka | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Bangladesh | 37c | 99.42$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.63 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Bangladesh | 46c | 99.02$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…8cf8backed Bangladesh | 58c | 97.48$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…643fbacked Bangladesh | 35c | 95.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.39 | 145 | 37.9%55 W · 90 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Sri Lanka | 48c | 90.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0136…8e5dbacked Bangladesh | 42c | 90.22$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.01 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…cefdbacked Sri Lanka | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Bangladesh | 35c | 76.72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.86 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…ca21backed Sri Lanka | 50c | 73.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 203 | 42.4%86 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa060…0747backed Sri Lanka | 67c | 70.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…dc6ebacked Sri Lanka | 19c | 67.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Sri Lanka | 28c | 65.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Bangladesh | 42c | 61.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Sri Lanka | 56c | 61.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…41bbbacked Sri Lanka | 51c | 58.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Sri Lanka | 56c | 56.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x031b…517ebacked Sri Lanka | 70c | 49.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed Bangladesh | 42c | 48.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Bangladesh | 55c | 47.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Bangladesh | 36c | 43.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…e821backed Sri Lanka | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7a…500cbacked Sri Lanka | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa231…0ab0backed Sri Lanka | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…3539backed Bangladesh | 37c | 39.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1971…acd7backed Sri Lanka | 46c | 38.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sri Lanka | 45c | 37.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 164 | 16.5%27 W · 137 L | -22.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf5…3ea3backed Sri Lanka | 54c | 36.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Sri Lanka | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Sri Lanka | 64c | 34.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde58…b901backed Bangladesh | 42c | 34.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4690…94fbbacked Sri Lanka | 65c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Sri Lanka | 64c | 28.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e8…2137backed Sri Lanka | 70c | 28.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…0096backed Sri Lanka | 44c | 26.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 34cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7eac…8008backed Sri Lanka | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c1…c952backed Sri Lanka | 67c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2310…03ddbacked Sri Lanka | 75c | 19.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.