CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3eafab82b70d0438bb4fdd2ffcbebf73eb42cafc12e82ae317eb58f5801d60cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 62c | 1,109$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.88 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Under | 62c | 634.97$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.29 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 61c | 172$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce54…90bcbacked Over | 38c | 141.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Over | 37c | 140$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Over | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 41c | 126$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Over | 38c | 123.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 38c | 101.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3734backed Over | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Over | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb16…7ecfbacked Over | 37c | 57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78fd…4b88backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Under | 63c | 49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Under | 63c | 47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed Over | 37c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 63c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 39c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Under | 63c | 41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Under | 63c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 63c | 19.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…7ac1backed Under | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group StageBESTIA Academy won
- Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs BESTIA Academy - Map 1 WinnerBESTIA Academy won
- Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs BESTIA Academy - Map 2 WinnerBESTIA Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.