Other European Leagues · resolved market
Hammarby IF vs. GAIS: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3eb44e8cf36ab95964af30df6a538662fab1ab10c75f8cb8e57511c945bab483
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 15c | 4,031$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.09 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 3,734$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.39 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe020…f39bbacked Over | 42c | 3,434$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 54c | 370.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.1 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 76c | 268.83$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.09 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 57c | 262.91$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.89 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 57c | 214.42$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.68 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 55c | 189.38$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.22 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 45c | 177.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.89 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 44c | 171.84$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.73 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9152…abfbbacked Under | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11bb…24e5backed Under | 17c | 126$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 68c | 121.67$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.73 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 59c | 105.04$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 15c | 100.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.34 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 71c | 99.72$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 71c | 87.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.47 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 53c | 79.92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 44c | 65.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 70c | 65.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 59c | 65.26$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 54c | 64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 57c | 57.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 61c | 54.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 58c | 53.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 44c | 48.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 56c | 45.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Under | 29c | 34.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…70ffbacked Under | 57c | 31.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 50c | 27.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Under | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 59c | 21.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…34d6backed Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 59c | 18.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 70c | 16.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 76c | 13.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hammarby IF vs. GAIS: O/U 3.5this page
- Hammarby IF vs. GAIS: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. GAIS: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hammarby IF vs. GAIS: GAIS O/U 1.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. GAIS: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. GAIS: O/U 2.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. GAIS: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. GAIS: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Hammarby IF (-1.5)Hammarby IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.