MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. KT Wiz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ebc911aadf2dc342e9e73712a6a8e30cab4149a4c215f01c7c87d4d5aede7d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kia Tigersof Kia Tigers, KT Wiz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1624…bf63backed KT Wiz | 12c | 2,408$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.48 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kia Tigers | 42c | 1,905$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.76 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed KT Wiz | 58c | 1,686$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.15 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kia Tigers | 24c | 858.27$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.03 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed KT Wiz | 56c | 693.63$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.2 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed KT Wiz | 18c | 606.85$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.71 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed KT Wiz | 35c | 374.72$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.73 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Kia Tigers | 39c | 365.13$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.28 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked Kia Tigers | 20c | 251.35$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.38 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Kia Tigers | 21c | 226.83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.02 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed KT Wiz | 14c | 209.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 195$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.45 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Kia Tigers | 46c | 174.59$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.13 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…401fbacked KT Wiz | 62c | 161.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked KT Wiz | 62c | 140$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.14 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kia Tigers | 44c | 105.76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked KT Wiz | 61c | 96.36$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d70…ae13backed Kia Tigers | 79c | 88.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked KT Wiz | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…b42dbacked KT Wiz | 77c | 70.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…36f4backed Kia Tigers | 27c | 70.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +192.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed KT Wiz | 42c | 65.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked KT Wiz | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Kia Tigers | 31c | 64.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.06 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Kia Tigers | 41c | 60.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked KT Wiz | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed KT Wiz | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed KT Wiz | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked KT Wiz | 22c | 52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +10.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xef1d…3080backed KT Wiz | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Kia Tigers | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked KT Wiz | 61c | 48.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kia Tigers | 38c | 47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed KT Wiz | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 186 | 52.7%98 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed KT Wiz | 73c | 44.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 260 | 63.8%166 W · 94 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed KT Wiz | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked KT Wiz | 61c | 40.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8d…4f5cbacked KT Wiz | 26c | 39.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed KT Wiz | 31c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -13.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked KT Wiz | 58c | 36.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kia Tigers | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed KT Wiz | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc26…5039backed KT Wiz | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Kia Tigers | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf77…c826backed KT Wiz | 73c | 26.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 71cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…1d99backed KT Wiz | 62c | 23.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d96…a1bfbacked KT Wiz | 50c | 23.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…4ad4backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 23.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Kia Tigers | 76c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x984d…8663backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 21.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec88…8c12backed KT Wiz | 50c | 21.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421a…2df4backed KT Wiz | 50c | 21.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…735ebacked Kia Tigers | 50c | 21.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…deaebacked KT Wiz | 72c | 20.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -7.7wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed KT Wiz | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked KT Wiz | 61c | 18.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.