Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wichita: Kenta Miyoshi vs Christian Langmo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f1e39049c06e71a10c45b3b6cbd6c882e877add850f9d54c88e4538112283c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kenta Miyoshiof Kenta Miyoshi, Christian Langmo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Christian Langmo | 50c | 2,575$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.43 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kenta Miyoshi | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Christian Langmo | 47c | 1,024$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.22 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…71b4backed Kenta Miyoshi | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kenta Miyoshi | 35c | 846.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.84 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Kenta Miyoshi | 50c | 777$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.5 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Christian Langmo | 27c | 737.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.81 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Christian Langmo | 80c | 462.07$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.05 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Christian Langmo | 50c | 450.14$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.07 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Christian Langmo | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Kenta Miyoshi | 72c | 430.49$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.95 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Christian Langmo | 40c | 385$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.05 | 947 | 51.1%484 W · 463 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 50c | 375$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.3 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Christian Langmo | 17c | 207$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Kenta Miyoshi | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Christian Langmo | 58c | 132.47$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 1,123 | 50.3%565 W · 558 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788f…8c1ebacked Christian Langmo | 48c | 81.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 184 | 60.3%111 W · 73 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Christian Langmo | 42c | 77.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Kenta Miyoshi | 54c | 70.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Kenta Miyoshi | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,785 | 48.7%869 W · 916 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 52c | 45.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 582 | 48.3%281 W · 301 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Christian Langmo | 49c | 40.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e63…3a91backed Christian Langmo | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Kenta Miyoshi | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 270 | 48.9%132 W · 138 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…53d0backed Christian Langmo | 53c | 34.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Kenta Miyoshi | 48c | 34.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Kenta Miyoshi | 51c | 32.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 439 | 43.7%192 W · 247 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Christian Langmo | 52c | 30.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 53c | 30.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…bb6cbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 47c | 27.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Kenta Miyoshi | 48c | 21.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.