Lol · resolved market
LoL: Disruptors vs JSK Esports (BO3) - Arabian League Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x406e6e09b0d38e2c9e520ac7e37a0136487d3a2247744a65a97f3476984a557d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- JSK Esportsof Disruptors, JSK Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed JSK Esports | 66c | 1,293$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.65 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Disruptors | 30c | 524.34$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.7 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Disruptors | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1,058 | 23.5%249 W · 809 L | -75.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…f616backed JSK Esports | 70c | 284.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.16 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…56a1backed Disruptors | 37c | 273.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e47…96c6backed Disruptors | 26c | 269.38$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.29 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Disruptors | 38c | 263.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked JSK Esports | 62c | 257.03$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.67 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d14…36fdbacked Disruptors | 30c | 182.2$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | +13.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked JSK Esports | 64c | 178.17$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.14 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked JSK Esports | 65c | 152.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Disruptors | 30c | 134.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaea6…2d1dbacked Disruptors | 36c | 133.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Disruptors | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 634 | 26%165 W · 469 L | -90.0wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -54%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed JSK Esports | 56c | 129.25$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.09 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e30…c14dbacked Disruptors | 29c | 120$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e9…39a0backed Disruptors | 36c | 112.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2888…f1a4backed Disruptors | 34c | 105$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 539 | 32.5%175 W · 364 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e68…58f2backed Disruptors | 34c | 103.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +9.0wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e7…f2e5backed Disruptors | 37c | 92.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked JSK Esports | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1,055 | 39.6%418 W · 637 L | -74.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Disruptors | 32c | 79.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Disruptors | 26c | 77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed JSK Esports | 61c | 66.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Disruptors | 36c | 63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 243 | 56.4%137 W · 106 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Disruptors | 47c | 62.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked JSK Esports | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 858 | 49.5%425 W · 433 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked JSK Esports | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 944 | 44.4%419 W · 525 L | -31.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked JSK Esports | 77c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Disruptors | 38c | 51.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 35%41 W · 76 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86dd…1af2backed JSK Esports | 68c | 50.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked JSK Esports | 76c | 49.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 1,063 | 47.2%502 W · 561 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Disruptors | 33c | 46.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 344 | 48.3%166 W · 178 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Disruptors | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked JSK Esports | 64c | 35.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 580 | 43.3%251 W · 329 L | -47.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x232f…8002backed Disruptors | 55c | 35.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed JSK Esports | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked JSK Esports | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x811f…16e3backed JSK Esports | 78c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…230cbacked JSK Esports | 67c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed JSK Esports | 68c | 20.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed Disruptors | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff42…01a4backed JSK Esports | 64c | 15.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Disruptors vs JSK Esports (BO3) - Arabian League Group Stagethis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.