Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Tidebound (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40aa56216502fde50afd8254e726646410d08e413975da3e5ce2dff1e58eaf43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, Team Tidebound
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Tidebound | 25c | 7,577$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,865.79 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Tundra Esports | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Tundra Esports | 76c | 3,158$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.89 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Tidebound | 24c | 1,864$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.37 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Tundra Esports | 76c | 1,620$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.87 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Team Tidebound | 24c | 1,600$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Tundra Esports | 77c | 1,429$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.67 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Tidebound | 2c | 1,347$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Team Tidebound | 27c | 1,181$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.86 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Tundra Esports | 80c | 1,045$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.2 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7fac…bdd8backed Team Tidebound | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tundra Esports | 76c | 956.14$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.97 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Team Tidebound | 23c | 945$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.35 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Team Tidebound | 22c | 592.12$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.27 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Team Tidebound | 23c | 494$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.62 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 439.82$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.16 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe180…889bbacked Tundra Esports | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Team Tidebound | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Team Tidebound | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed Tundra Esports | 78c | 78.63$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd7…600dbacked Tundra Esports | 78c | 71.24$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640c…91c8backed Tundra Esports | 78c | 25.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Tidebound (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Tidebound - Game 1 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Tidebound - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.