TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ThunderTalk Gamingof JD Gaming, ThunderTalk Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,985
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,390

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,985 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed JD Gaming39c5,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9501,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed ThunderTalk Gaming61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,95047455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed ThunderTalk Gaming56c2,734$1,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.492,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8a…9dfcbacked JD Gaming56c2,500$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4066732.8%22 W · 45 L-7.9wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-32.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked JD Gaming40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9829443.2%127 W · 167 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed JD Gaming41c1,338$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.2146050.7%233 W · 227 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked ThunderTalk Gaming59c1,244$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.3236155.4%200 W · 161 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed JD Gaming40c999.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9911245.5%51 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed ThunderTalk Gaming42c946.94$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.8169741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0160…1224backed JD Gaming41c610.73$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25023639.8%94 W · 142 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed JD Gaming40c551$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.421051.4%108 W · 102 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed JD Gaming40c529.3$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.7213933.8%47 W · 92 L-14.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-32.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed ThunderTalk Gaming60c509$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.7816654.2%90 W · 76 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed ThunderTalk Gaming59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2051,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked ThunderTalk Gaming60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20089050.6%450 W · 440 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed JD Gaming40c499.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed JD Gaming5c489.06$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.732,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x824b…8386backed ThunderTalk Gaming60c483.33$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.3317457.5%100 W · 74 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming59c410.73$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.47142.3%30 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ed…8da0backed ThunderTalk Gaming60c400.41$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.165360.4%32 W · 21 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed JD Gaming40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3105…2e7ebacked JD Gaming41c375.12$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.86858.8%40 W · 28 L+9.8wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+35.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x682c…ef07backed ThunderTalk Gaming59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9855145%248 W · 303 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf71e…917bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3326765.9%176 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming60c326.43$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.5714342%60 W · 83 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfbe…dc24backed JD Gaming50c265.85$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.316646.4%77 W · 89 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed JD Gaming39c251$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8917943.6%78 W · 101 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbdd…cd9dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10022562.2%140 W · 85 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbbb…3df5backed JD Gaming41c250$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.530151.5%155 W · 146 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked ThunderTalk Gaming59c236.94$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1532555.7%181 W · 144 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed JD Gaming40c235.93$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3744451.8%230 W · 214 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe548…a9febacked ThunderTalk Gaming59c232.27$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.2317555.4%97 W · 78 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed ThunderTalk Gaming71c226.24$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9297854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed JD Gaming39c220.02$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.811,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed JD Gaming54c214.67$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1937948.3%183 W · 196 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8061256.2%344 W · 268 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked JD Gaming40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8021548.4%104 W · 111 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed JD Gaming41c170.73$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7027050.7%137 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed ThunderTalk Gaming59c168.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.152441%215 W · 309 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cef…dbcbbacked ThunderTalk Gaming61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9312153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x882f…50b8backed JD Gaming41c126.83$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5252646.2%243 W · 283 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked ThunderTalk Gaming48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1717650%88 W · 88 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed ThunderTalk Gaming59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4166059.8%395 W · 265 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc36…bce8backed JD Gaming41c92.93$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-49.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked JD Gaming28c92.66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6134151.6%176 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba48…907cbacked JD Gaming51c91.84$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8498163.8%626 W · 355 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed JD Gaming40c87.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3592342.7%394 W · 529 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2458…bd24backed ThunderTalk Gaming60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.339341.9%39 W · 54 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe332…d5e9backed ThunderTalk Gaming60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3330666.3%203 W · 103 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d28…0d64backed ThunderTalk Gaming59c80$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.815143.7%66 W · 85 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed JD Gaming41c80$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.812341.5%51 W · 72 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked JD Gaming41c76$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1635848.9%175 W · 183 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x203a…935fbacked JD Gaming42c71.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013964%89 W · 50 L+12.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd207…c366backed ThunderTalk Gaming60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6710847.2%51 W · 57 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed JD Gaming42c64.29$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275836.2%21 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed ThunderTalk Gaming48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.513349.6%66 W · 67 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked JD Gaming41c61.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.281,35651.1%693 W · 663 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa73a…27d9backed JD Gaming42c56.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.939652%206 W · 190 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab1…ca7abacked ThunderTalk Gaming60c50.42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.421963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43f3…06f9backed ThunderTalk Gaming60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203966.7%26 W · 13 L+5.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x40f7…f9e4backed ThunderTalk Gaming58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217554.7%41 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed JD Gaming39c49.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.181,31049.2%644 W · 666 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked JD Gaming39c49.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.181,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53d7…ca8bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1811844.9%53 W · 65 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked JD Gaming40c47.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.842,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed JD Gaming41c45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4539555.2%218 W · 177 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa845…6b8fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.671136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed ThunderTalk Gaming49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.828946.1%41 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1661746.5%287 W · 330 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef1f…719dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming59c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+32.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5000…c2bebacked JD Gaming41c39.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164650%23 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1c1…928cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming61c37.7$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.715862.7%99 W · 59 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x20aa…b3dcbacked JD Gaming40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157250%36 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6113951.8%72 W · 67 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82f3…5cd4backed JD Gaming40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124355.8%24 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked JD Gaming38c29.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2129738.7%115 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ada…5c6cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4223264.2%149 W · 83 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1607…2c65backed ThunderTalk Gaming60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x914a…9642backed ThunderTalk Gaming60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107356.2%41 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1497…4414backed ThunderTalk Gaming60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101225%3 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-52.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.