MLB · resolved market
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Samsung Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x417da66cc5442d05ce3453b28d1b5cdde6f26c21a0dbd86e4485fadc3c7bae02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samsung Lionsof Hanwha Eagles, Samsung Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hanwha Eagles | 40c | 3,455$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.34 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Samsung Lions | 56c | 3,388$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.76 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Hanwha Eagles | 43c | 761.01$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.23 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Samsung Lions | 57c | 356$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.08 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 247.37$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.37 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 162.66$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.07 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hanwha Eagles | 43c | 134.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed Samsung Lions | 59c | 117.19$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Hanwha Eagles | 45c | 111.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Samsung Lions | 39c | 91.35$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Hanwha Eagles | 44c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Samsung Lions | 55c | 85.93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…b3c3backed Hanwha Eagles | 51c | 69.69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 68.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Samsung Lions | 68c | 68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked Hanwha Eagles | 63c | 59.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfae…155ebacked Hanwha Eagles | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Samsung Lions | 38c | 46.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Hanwha Eagles | 44c | 39.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -14.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 223 | 52.5%117 W · 106 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Samsung Lions | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…cdc5backed Hanwha Eagles | 45c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Hanwha Eagles | 45c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Samsung Lions | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…2ffabacked Samsung Lions | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Samsung Lions | 79c | 24.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ce…feb1backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 20.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -8.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked Hanwha Eagles | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.