CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41ecd574a83a78f486acb3f8e9b64bb481f4515cd7d3072ac9a3e31e89dc384f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-Zero Tenacityof KOLESIE, ex-Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked KOLESIE | 49c | 2,681$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.32 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed KOLESIE | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 52c | 1,426$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.48 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed KOLESIE | 1c | 1,330$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 119 | 0.8%1 W · 118 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 51c | 289.27$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.01 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 47c | 280$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.54 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 44c | 177.23$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.58 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…b15bbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 37c | 150.69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.6 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 34c | 136$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked KOLESIE | 74c | 134.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 45c | 124.14$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.87 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 46c | 115.65$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.65 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 44c | 114.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.02 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked KOLESIE | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 37c | 97.53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed KOLESIE | 25c | 94.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabd2…345ebacked KOLESIE | 76c | 83.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 34c | 80.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked KOLESIE | 63c | 75.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 66c | 68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 49c | 65.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 47c | 59.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked KOLESIE | 43c | 53.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…158fbacked KOLESIE | 43c | 49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb30e…5ecebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed KOLESIE | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…7d20backed KOLESIE | 56c | 26.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked KOLESIE | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed KOLESIE | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 184 | 32.6%60 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked KOLESIE | 47c | 22.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked KOLESIE | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stageex-Zero Tenacity won
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 WinnerKOLESIE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.