Asian League · resolved market
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42f8ee83c16953e346e3ee854d46146bf5e65b8b141c0da3591987176c6e85b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 10,393$7,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.39 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes | 22c | 8,986$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 31c | 3,596$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.76 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 78c | 3,544$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.09 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 1,400$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.6 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 31c | 999.96$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 30c | 999.9$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 32c | 687.5$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 69c | 579.7$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.71 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 435.55$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.38 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 6c | 350.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 80c | 322.32$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.74 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ce…3cf8backed Yes | 6c | 282.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 70c | 279.79$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.94 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 69c | 247.93$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.31 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 69c | 230.23$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.23 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 69c | 180$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf4…a67cbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca7…dea9backed Yes | 30c | 149.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 131.38$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa6…9361backed Yes | 31c | 111.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 31c | 106.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Yes | 30c | 101.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…0c16backed Yes | 23c | 83.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 30c | 66.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked No | 70c | 58.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 72c | 57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x637f…e492backed Yes | 22c | 53.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5853…3815backed Yes | 34c | 50.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Yes | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 70c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 75c | 40.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 65c | 31.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 71c | 23.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 70c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-05-02?Yes won
- Will Incheon United FC vs. Gangwon FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.