Asian League · resolved market
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a878b1697ad19c0fcc1d40c34a58cee5ca3ab1fe062afe38a04d79a3850c217
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfe3…c693backed Yes | 40c | 10,610$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,370.47 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 24c | 3,313$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.16 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf888…1c98backed Yes | 44c | 2,030$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.51 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 1,625$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.02 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 60c | 1,600$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 20c | 1,199$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.51 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 60c | 946.39$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.83 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 60c | 700$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 57c | 628.77$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.65 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked No | 24c | 625.83$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 41c | 510$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.9 | 205 | 20%41 W · 164 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 62c | 443.97$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.04 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 7c | 362$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 60c | 260$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 215 | 52.1%112 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 60c | 260$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 16c | 259.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 42c | 248.1$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.85 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…d51ebacked No | 22c | 227.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…37ccbacked Yes | 41c | 224$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.16 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 37c | 211.17$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.46 | 1,464 | 35.6%521 W · 943 L | -33.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 60c | 198.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.53 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 19c | 194.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 43c | 185$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.88 | 293 | 50.9%149 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 60c | 180$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 57c | 171.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.83 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 44c | 163.64$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.64 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 60c | 160$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 60c | 160$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 60c | 160$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 16c | 148.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd305…a873backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 19c | 120.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 44c | 113.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.98 | 287 | 32.8%94 W · 193 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 63c | 103.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.95 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes | 39c | 102.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.74 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d4…16a1backed Yes | 78c | 101.33$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb161…9132backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 39c | 66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 34c | 53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 45c | 44.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…3716backed Yes | 44c | 38.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Yes | 76c | 35.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 60c | 35.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…0b44backed Yes | 45c | 32.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked No | 60c | 32.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8414…2ddebacked Yes | 65c | 27.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 41c | 26.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +17.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…b692backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a01…c0f7backed No | 60c | 20.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 63c | 20.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 57c | 18.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 843 | 42.2%356 W · 487 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 63c | 16.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 70c | 14.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Incheon United FC vs. Gangwon FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.