TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,918
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,400

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,918 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6498…8910backed Over51c8,114$4,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,935.3751756.5%292 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under53c5,958$3,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,151.9227254.4%148 W · 124 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c4,556$2,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,406.211,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over54c3,193$1,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.372,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under52c2,952$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,535.6624651.6%127 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c2,779$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.9212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under48c2,523$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.9912551.2%64 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c2,422$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.721,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over48c1,834$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.6467250.1%337 W · 335 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c1,424$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.1110,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over49c1,268$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.569,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over47c1,043$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.791,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5301,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x68bf…3e67backed Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5107852.6%41 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under52c963.43$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.881,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Over47c954.98$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.1414340.6%58 W · 85 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over47c800$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4286,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under53c769.91$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.7315753.5%84 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c762.02$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.4667849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over47c690.79$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.4465549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under52c618.82$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.791,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under52c616.28$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.4717248.8%84 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under53c569.68$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.6139351.9%204 W · 189 L+1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under53c569.68$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.6134452.6%181 W · 163 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7335…dd65backed Under54c518.69$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.092045%9 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfaa…3858backed Over50c493.64$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.281668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+40.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under53c462.74$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.9419452.6%102 W · 92 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Under53c458.39$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.956150.8%31 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under52c451.45$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.7615847.5%75 W · 83 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under53c437.53$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.881,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over46c435.42$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.1341051.7%212 W · 198 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c386.26$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.721,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under43c371.84$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.15,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under54c318.46$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.971,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under52c251.22$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.6424348.1%117 W · 126 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under52c251.22$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.6428646.2%132 W · 154 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022532%8 W · 17 L-5.5wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-38.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Over50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9738353.8%206 W · 177 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under52c185.75$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1327146.9%127 W · 144 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1894648.9%463 W · 483 L+4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae7b…aec1backed Under53c182.48$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.192142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over58c152.45$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.36,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under51c149.66$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.339655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under49c147.75$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.717050%35 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under44c141.66$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2866749.3%329 W · 338 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under52c132.16$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7211245.5%51 W · 61 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under52c132.16$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7225349.4%125 W · 128 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under52c119.07$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.911,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under53c113.7$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2628350.2%142 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over48c99.62$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.86647%31 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under50c94.94$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.492,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Under52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.564450%22 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over46c93$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2223248.7%113 W · 119 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over54c84.77$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.781,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over49c75.51$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.641,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under53c60.5$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.071,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Under53c58.31$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.911250%56 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over48c57.36$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8321847.7%104 W · 114 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under29c53.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.81,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over27c53.55$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.091,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Over26c52.55$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9643043%185 W · 245 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Over49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed Over45c49.97$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.488360.2%50 W · 33 L+10.3wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Over49c49.54$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2626151%133 W · 128 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75d1…0b9cbacked Under39c49.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.27933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-36.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4cb…a917backed Over50c48.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2520751.2%106 W · 101 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over30c47.85$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.583,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under52c46.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2837747.2%178 W · 199 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under53c45.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.329450.7%149 W · 145 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda47…c2e9backed Over44c44.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.111625%4 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-43.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0bbd…98f2backed Over46c37.74$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3818751.3%96 W · 91 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4270455%387 W · 317 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over49c36.84$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.793,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under53c36.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2430750.2%154 W · 153 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under62c34.23$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3765050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Over49c29.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1310542.9%45 W · 60 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Over49c28.69$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.634551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf237…4989backed Under54c26.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.173135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over56c24.72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.772,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Over52c24.27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7755464.1%355 W · 199 L+63.1wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed Over51c24.25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.827053.7%145 W · 125 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Over48c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4813054.6%71 W · 59 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under52c19.42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.186653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.