Tennis · resolved market
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Gabriela Knutson vs Rebecca Sramkova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43fea7834ad528b97617c5460665147041f01e7f0bf9de89ef3c1743cb983cb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rebecca Sramkovaof Gabriela Knutson, Rebecca Sramkova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Rebecca Sramkova | 66c | 8,385$5,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,827.47 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Gabriela Knutson | 32c | 7,800$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.08 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Gabriela Knutson | 18c | 2,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Gabriela Knutson | 40c | 2,134$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.12 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Rebecca Sramkova | 73c | 1,601$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.26 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Gabriela Knutson | 34c | 933.39$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.01 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Rebecca Sramkova | 60c | 884$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.6 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Rebecca Sramkova | 74c | 790$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.7 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…6794backed Rebecca Sramkova | 58c | 587.27$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.65 | 369 | 54.2%200 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Rebecca Sramkova | 65c | 510.97$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.84 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rebecca Sramkova | 67c | 484.79$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.86 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc024…cc2ebacked Rebecca Sramkova | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Rebecca Sramkova | 64c | 340.1$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.87 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Gabriela Knutson | 35c | 333$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.55 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7743…8e04backed Gabriela Knutson | 42c | 302.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Gabriela Knutson | 33c | 295.52$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48e…b476backed Gabriela Knutson | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 39.7%69 W · 105 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Gabriela Knutson | 23c | 275.87$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…7608backed Rebecca Sramkova | 58c | 221$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfb…5868backed Rebecca Sramkova | 58c | 210$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0904…9d43backed Gabriela Knutson | 42c | 209$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9d…2ee4backed Gabriela Knutson | 37c | 137.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Gabriela Knutson | 35c | 126.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Rebecca Sramkova | 80c | 125.78$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 179 | 72.6%130 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Gabriela Knutson | 19c | 125$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 284 | 37.3%106 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5142…0845backed Gabriela Knutson | 19c | 125$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Rebecca Sramkova | 73c | 115$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Gabriela Knutson | 25c | 106.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Gabriela Knutson | 27c | 105$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Gabriela Knutson | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Rebecca Sramkova | 68c | 97.11$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5429…83c2backed Gabriela Knutson | 22c | 91.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 201 | 28.4%57 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…e8bbbacked Rebecca Sramkova | 65c | 83.08$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 185 | 72.4%134 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Gabriela Knutson | 35c | 80.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ef…b186backed Gabriela Knutson | 42c | 77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fb…689bbacked Rebecca Sramkova | 58c | 77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Rebecca Sramkova | 67c | 72.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…2ecebacked Rebecca Sramkova | 58c | 72$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Gabriela Knutson | 41c | 68.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Gabriela Knutson | 25c | 62.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Gabriela Knutson | 35c | 57.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Gabriela Knutson | 36c | 55.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Gabriela Knutson | 29c | 45.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd878…cb85backed Gabriela Knutson | 35c | 42.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Gabriela Knutson | 35c | 41.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…b1b1backed Gabriela Knutson | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 507 | 36.1%183 W · 324 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Rebecca Sramkova | 73c | 41.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c55…3408backed Rebecca Sramkova | 66c | 39.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Gabriela Knutson | 34c | 34.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Gabriela Knutson | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcd…3fcfbacked Rebecca Sramkova | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 87 | 69%60 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…b79fbacked Rebecca Sramkova | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 98 | 67.3%66 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Rebecca Sramkova | 64c | 17.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Rebecca Sramkova | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Rebecca Sramkova | 69c | 15.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Gabriela Knutson vs Rebecca Sramkovathis page
- Knutson vs. Sramkova: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Knutson vs SramkovaSramkova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.