Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Americas Qualifier: Bahamas vs Brazil
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x454b9c4dee1f186eb3cef993b2656017c4c8df761940f062a6ec635b2d0f6327
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bahamasof Bahamas, Brazil
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6cd…d3b2backed Brazil | 23c | 3,401$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.51 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d99…9675backed Brazil | 22c | 3,322$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.83 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bahamas | 77c | 2,211$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.64 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Bahamas | 79c | 1,481$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.38 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Brazil | 1c | 1,106$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…fab1backed Bahamas | 77c | 1,085$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.68 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Brazil | 12c | 988.64$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.46 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Brazil | 19c | 873.32$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.72 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Brazil | 19c | 730.65$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.24 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Brazil | 14c | 703.91$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bahamas | 75c | 670.46$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.73 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Brazil | 20c | 488.73$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b3…d0eebacked Brazil | 13c | 481.88$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e66…2cd4backed Brazil | 16c | 381.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Brazil | 18c | 371.24$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.88 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Brazil | 13c | 353$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Brazil | 15c | 345.44$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Brazil | 13c | 318.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x173c…a5aabacked Bahamas | 79c | 313.04$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.74 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 63cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Bahamas | 79c | 294.8$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.91 | 174 | 59.8%104 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Brazil | 17c | 290.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Brazil | 18c | 237.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe7…0c14backed Bahamas | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06b7…e26bbacked Bahamas | 80c | 199.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…d0ecbacked Brazil | 15c | 199.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 134 | 18.7%25 W · 109 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Bahamas | 71c | 195$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.85 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Bahamas | 74c | 187.97$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Brazil | 13c | 170.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 184 | 19.6%36 W · 148 L | -25.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Brazil | 8c | 161.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Brazil | 17c | 157.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Brazil | 26c | 153.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf928…ea32backed Bahamas | 75c | 149.98$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Bahamas | 79c | 147$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92db…68d2backed Bahamas | 60c | 144.25$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec04…1bcebacked Bahamas | 79c | 129.11$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Bahamas | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Bahamas | 79c | 121.48$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Brazil | 11c | 116.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Bahamas | 72c | 110.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Bahamas | 76c | 109$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Brazil | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Brazil | 13c | 99.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x660c…7f7abacked Brazil | 16c | 98.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Bahamas | 76c | 67.26$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Bahamas | 77c | 52.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Bahamas | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Brazil | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Bahamas | 68c | 38.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…ac49backed Bahamas | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95e…102abacked Bahamas | 79c | 35.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Brazil | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba17…5c67backed Bahamas | 77c | 15.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.