Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Vermont Catamounts vs. NJIT Highlanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45c43579a4108d19eaca36b9c265b75da3e982cc0650bcc4f3c6e0eb87aa3361
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vermont Catamountsof Vermont Catamounts, NJIT Highlanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked NJIT Highlanders | 25c | 26,733$6,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,599.22 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…1079backed Vermont Catamounts | 73c | 21,348$15,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,836.86 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed NJIT Highlanders | 25c | 3,632$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.38 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked NJIT Highlanders | 27c | 1,228$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.56 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Vermont Catamounts | 77c | 1,150$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.32 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed NJIT Highlanders | 36c | 1,007$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.04 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Vermont Catamounts | 53c | 600$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.58 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Vermont Catamounts | 71c | 506.82$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.98 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed NJIT Highlanders | 16c | 316.84$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Vermont Catamounts | 56c | 259$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.91 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed NJIT Highlanders | 46c | 254.15$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.91 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Vermont Catamounts | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked NJIT Highlanders | 44c | 226.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked NJIT Highlanders | 36c | 199.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Vermont Catamounts | 60c | 174$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.19 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked NJIT Highlanders | 33c | 167.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Vermont Catamounts | 64c | 156.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Vermont Catamounts | 71c | 138.95$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Vermont Catamounts | 71c | 110.58$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NJIT Highlanders | 14c | 110.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Vermont Catamounts | 66c | 94.74$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed NJIT Highlanders | 25c | 89.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Vermont Catamounts | 70c | 88.74$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Vermont Catamounts | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Vermont Catamounts | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Vermont Catamounts | 67c | 60.54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Vermont Catamounts | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed NJIT Highlanders | 31c | 47.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed NJIT Highlanders | 27c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Vermont Catamounts | 68c | 31.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6713…5de1backed NJIT Highlanders | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Vermont Catamounts | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NJIT Highlanders | 49c | 29.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc321…a50ebacked Vermont Catamounts | 62c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09be…85c8backed Vermont Catamounts | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc2…02a9backed Vermont Catamounts | 72c | 25.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18b…2ef2backed Vermont Catamounts | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…5bacbacked Vermont Catamounts | 75c | 14.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.