Fifa International · resolved market
Scotland vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4622663f50ec8abf37a54dfb3a197c8006985715045458aec5a5c725b82f0781
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.99 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 59c | 1,675$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.85 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Under | 40c | 476.38$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.55 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Under | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…0211backed Over | 60c | 433$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 41c | 431.23$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.8 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Under | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 58c | 239.05$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.4 | 203 | 37.9%77 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed4…788dbacked Over | 60c | 232$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Over | 59c | 223.34$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.57 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 42c | 167$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.14 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 41c | 89.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed Over | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…4817backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 258 | 41.1%106 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…d3cbbacked Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 40c | 42.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed Under | 50c | 39.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 60c | 37.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…2a42backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 404 | 35.6%144 W · 260 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 40c | 33.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc7…6895backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 84 | 73.8%62 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d27…3386backed Over | 58c | 25.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 50c | 20.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 340 | 56.5%192 W · 148 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 12.5 Total CornersOver won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Team to Take First CornerBrazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.