Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Purdue Boilermakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4877485dddb4351fb15e024b415fcb64d8222d87829a6a6eacb12ccbe18b6d2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Purdue Boilermakersof Texas Tech Red Raiders, Purdue Boilermakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Purdue Boilermakers | 61c | 19,224$11,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,572.25 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 40c | 2,698$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.2 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 40c | 2,339$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.47 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff0d…0381backed Purdue Boilermakers | 62c | 2,268$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.11 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -91%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 38c | 1,660$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.29 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 71 | 19.7%14 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 42c | 850.51$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.2 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 39c | 835.4$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.65 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 39c | 800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 39c | 610.57$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.19 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 40c | 608$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.2 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…caf5backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 32c | 414.85$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.87 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Purdue Boilermakers | 70c | 409.83$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.53 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 38c | 388.4$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.51 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 39c | 294.59$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.89 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +11.5wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Purdue Boilermakers | 61c | 213.11$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 39c | 200.18$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.07 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 40c | 194.6$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Purdue Boilermakers | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 40c | 64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 40c | 50.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9001…b232backed Purdue Boilermakers | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Purdue Boilermakers | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.