Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Zirə FK vs. SK Torpedo Kutaisi end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x496d64f1175f224a4b773f4a7ea7baf935de1725233ef9aa3c8a5c3ea27c0cfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 75c | 1,007$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.07 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 25c | 915.96$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.31 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Yes | 24c | 657.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 314.58$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 77c | 259.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.84 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 26c | 199.52$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 78c | 185.04$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes | 17c | 159.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 74c | 143.23$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 24c | 131.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 76c | 128$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 76c | 119.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 87.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…bbd2backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 74c | 77.41$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…9488backed Yes | 25c | 75.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b9…3964backed Yes | 24c | 56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +80%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 75c | 19.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked No | 75c | 17.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zirə FK vs. SK Torpedo Kutaisi end in a draw?this page
- Will SK Torpedo Kutaisi win on 2026-07-08?No won
- Will Zirə FK win on 2026-07-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.