Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Zirə FK win on 2026-07-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01140f4d01e6d96f60cbcee6ad54518d9863032d2d4a63c81d85a7aa5dd338af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 60c | 5,000$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.03 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 40c | 2,891$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.77 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 41c | 1,002$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.85 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 62c | 727.32$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.6 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 78c | 594.14$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.46 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 34c | 536.26$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.11 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 67c | 437.38$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.29 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 31c | 375.93$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.95 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 39c | 321.9$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.88 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 40c | 294$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 58c | 293.14$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.04 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 40c | 288$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 26c | 240.87$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.32 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 40c | 240$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 41c | 214.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.15 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 41c | 186.16$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.71 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 60c | 166.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked No | 43c | 152.84$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 59c | 150.37$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.32 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 44c | 143.23$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 40c | 133.4$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 40c | 127.69$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 40c | 114$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 60c | 105.16$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 58c | 100.19$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.06 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Yes | 73c | 95.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53e1…f420backed Yes | 59c | 82.54$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +4.9wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 61c | 81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 280 | 12.9%36 W · 244 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe28e…fe7cbacked Yes | 60c | 76.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…9488backed Yes | 61c | 75.11$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Yes | 58c | 75.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked Yes | 59c | 69.17$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 43c | 67.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yes | 61c | 64.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…28a8backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…5a95backed Yes | 59c | 44.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…0ebdbacked Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…093dbacked Yes | 57c | 33.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed Yes | 63c | 29.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20eb…87efbacked Yes | 62c | 28.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 43c | 26.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 70c | 22.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 63c | 22.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zirə FK win on 2026-07-08?this page
- Will SK Torpedo Kutaisi win on 2026-07-08?No won
- Will Zirə FK vs. SK Torpedo Kutaisi end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.