Tennis · resolved market
Swiss Open, Qualification: Federico Cina vs Patrick Zahraj
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4975aa2b39c06bbe286faf0b8581c6555d9ef37f161af1c2a434896a2e5ca160
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Federico Cinaof Federico Cina, Patrick Zahraj
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Patrick Zahraj | 11c | 3,705$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.28 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…77abbacked Patrick Zahraj | 10c | 1,925$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.2 | 258 | 54.3%140 W · 118 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Patrick Zahraj | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Patrick Zahraj | 6c | 851.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Patrick Zahraj | 11c | 849.76$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Patrick Zahraj | 8c | 751.13$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Patrick Zahraj | 14c | 668.22$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.52 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Patrick Zahraj | 15c | 666.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Patrick Zahraj | 14c | 513.08$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 130 | 25.4%33 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -28%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Patrick Zahraj | 13c | 501.47$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.18 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Patrick Zahraj | 12c | 415$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Patrick Zahraj | 13c | 378.21$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 249 | 36.5%91 W · 158 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Patrick Zahraj | 14c | 364.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Patrick Zahraj | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Patrick Zahraj | 15c | 253.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 182 | 58.8%107 W · 75 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…46c8backed Patrick Zahraj | 14c | 241.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 228 | 21.1%48 W · 180 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…645fbacked Patrick Zahraj | 14c | 238.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Patrick Zahraj | 5c | 208.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Patrick Zahraj | 11c | 150.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Patrick Zahraj | 14c | 93.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Patrick Zahraj | 14c | 86.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 277 | 53.4%148 W · 129 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Patrick Zahraj | 15c | 80.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Swiss Open, Qualification: Federico Cina vs Patrick Zahrajthis page
- Cina vs. Zahraj: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Cina vs. Zahraj: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Cina vs ZahrajCina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.