Asian League · resolved market
Will Gangwon FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49b11ec00dd35988d0f2fc65f9226c7726835af2205c160650481f92c3beac78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked No | 51c | 2,934$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.19 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 47c | 2,912$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.82 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 25c | 994.9$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 56c | 706.86$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.97 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 70c | 605.98$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.66 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 53c | 559$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.95 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked No | 73c | 407.25$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.37 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 52c | 380.54$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.57 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 44c | 337.95$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.44 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 31c | 287.53$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.89 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 44c | 228.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 38c | 193.95$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.02 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 188.22$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.93 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 67c | 184.26$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.73 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed No | 71c | 167.61$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 58c | 166.38$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.88 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 24c | 128.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57f7…ae57backed No | 16c | 116.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.86 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +7.9wins | +0.42per pick | 16cpaid | +242.1%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Yes | 61c | 112.53$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 31c | 102.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 39c | 101.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 42c | 98.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked No | 58c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 73.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 66c | 58.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 70c | 47.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 52c | 47.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 60c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 66c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…2687backed Yes | 64c | 28.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 62c | 27.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 56c | 23.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 77c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0c…ff3ebacked No | 60c | 18.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8414…2ddebacked No | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked No | 70c | 15.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gangwon FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-05-12?No won
- Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-05-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.