Asian League · resolved market
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-05-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x242df9f768a76c9e14c7fde7435d1f88db020fe782e6f842f598938c49b61829
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 70c | 12,575$8,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,770.39 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 30c | 11,873$3,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,296.34 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 16c | 1,277$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 566.14$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.03 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 63c | 477.85$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.03 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 43c | 447.67$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.67 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 16c | 413.93$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.13 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed No | 58c | 410$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.7 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 29c | 332$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.21 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 488 | 67.8%331 W · 157 L | +68.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 41c | 291.74$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.13 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 45c | 279.27$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.6 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 30c | 278.85$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.59 | 593 | 42.5%252 W · 341 L | -28.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 70c | 257.14$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…2264backed Yes | 44c | 240.18$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.09 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 20c | 235.59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 60c | 226.44$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 44c | 210$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.41 | 201 | 65.7%132 W · 69 L | +28.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 36c | 196.36$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.87 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x005a…1349backed No | 64c | 157.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Yes | 46c | 152.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 46c | 139$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.69 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 30c | 135.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.61 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 66c | 132.57$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 38c | 121.25$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed No | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 56c | 89.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 56c | 87.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 21c | 83.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 450 | 52.2%235 W · 215 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 57c | 58.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…9179backed Yes | 46c | 54.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 76c | 50.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 56c | 50.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked Yes | 45c | 49.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d242backed Yes | 38c | 49.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 61c | 46.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…a311backed Yes | 45c | 45.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 62c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 843 | 42.2%356 W · 487 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 45c | 44.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 70c | 40.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 57c | 37.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 58c | 33.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 54c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 226 | 53.5%121 W · 105 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 57c | 28.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…711fbacked Yes | 42c | 26.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed No | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-05-12?this page
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-05-12?No won
- Will Gangwon FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.