Fifa International · resolved market
Switzerland to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49b1ff3b8da3a86b8efc75f0652d5066d95cdf2f9f4a6db24b9be4e486e00ffe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 68c | 4,541$3,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,069.35 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked No | 26c | 1,401$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.13 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 34c | 1,371$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.26 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked No | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed No | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…97c2backed No | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 31c | 426.1$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.29 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 31c | 415.61$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.86 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 25c | 350.04$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.53 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed No | 32c | 285.72$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.58 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked No | 34c | 235$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.1 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1b…bb35backed Yes | 71c | 212.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d90…7e0abacked Yes | 80c | 183.75$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 33c | 140.07$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.68 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked No | 31c | 123.64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.22 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 29c | 122.65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.08 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked No | 34c | 119.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.87 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +7.5wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…0ccbbacked No | 34c | 102.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.33 | 130 | 61.5%80 W · 50 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked No | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…8eaebacked Yes | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 329 | 28%92 W · 237 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed No | 32c | 99.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.49 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502c…728fbacked Yes | 80c | 80.35$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 34c | 65.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…8f34backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 28c | 62.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ff…b373backed No | 27c | 59.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e4…3be1backed Yes | 69c | 41.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d90…2b8abacked Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33f…91a8backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0319…db1abacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa630…317dbacked Yes | 80c | 23.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…0bd8backed Yes | 68c | 20.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb129…c058backed Yes | 75c | 18.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…a305backed Yes | 75c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…09eebacked Yes | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Switzerland to win the second half?this page
- Qatar to win the second half?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.