Fifa International · resolved market
Will Argentina win on 2025-11-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4aa9d01f098ea04b83b9c84577e1d53d78de76234066360e72624244660bf334
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 14c | 20,063$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720.13 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 15c | 15,140$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.5 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 16c | 11,277$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.28 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 20c | 8,784$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.93 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 15c | 3,920$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.16 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 14c | 2,909$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.23 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 15c | 2,902$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.04 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 80c | 2,664$2,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.15 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked No | 15c | 2,084$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.32 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 20c | 2,050$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 5c | 1,878$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.89 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…81d1backed No | 11c | 1,527$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 78c | 1,250$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.98 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 15c | 1,182$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.32 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked No | 22c | 1,142$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 77c | 1,008$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.45 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 16c | 999.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 18c | 999.65$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.95 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 15c | 951$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.31 | 459 | 49.5%227 W · 232 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 15c | 951$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.31 | 397 | 49.9%198 W · 199 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 15c | 951$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.31 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 15c | 950.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.31 | 464 | 53.2%247 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 15c | 950.98$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.31 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 15c | 943.93$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.9 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 18c | 892.05$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.28 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 7c | 772.76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 18c | 701.97$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.42 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed No | 15c | 662.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 15c | 647$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.05 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 15c | 647$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.05 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 16c | 626.85$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 14c | 626$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.62 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 15c | 623$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.45 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 15c | 603.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.51 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -8.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 15c | 541$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.73 | 168 | 31.5%53 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 15c | 540$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.32 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 15c | 540$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.32 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 15c | 474$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.42 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked No | 15c | 458.48$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.54 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 17c | 427.95$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.49 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 16c | 416$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 19c | 394.72$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 16c | 380.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 16c | 357.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.51 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 17c | 322.92$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…988ebacked Yes | 80c | 314.99$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 15c | 283.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 16c | 243.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked No | 17c | 230.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed No | 17c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked No | 19c | 184.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 18c | 161.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 15c | 149.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 17c | 127.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 20c | 79.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1401…0707backed No | 15c | 77.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed No | 22c | 54.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 22c | 53.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca9…6ec9backed Yes | 79c | 52.31$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de2…86e1backed Yes | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc4…52c8backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 75c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef0b…951abacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Argentina win on 2025-11-14?this page
- Will Angola vs. Argentina end in a draw?No won
- Will Angola win on 2025-11-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.