Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace beat Everton?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4aaad4c768e59a98abe6fae789316b37082d1fa04b4ecc0033727fc31408fa98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 36c | 17,401$6,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,194.74 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e3…246bbacked Yes | 69c | 14,593$10,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,130.3 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0efe…6074backed Yes | 38c | 3,397$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes | 36c | 1,503$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.87 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 64c | 1,449$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.99 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed No | 63c | 1,075$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.84 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 61c | 921.45$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.36 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…2549backed Yes | 37c | 540$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 37c | 535.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 36c | 333$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 36c | 222$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed No | 63c | 145.95$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe51b…d02bbacked No | 64c | 70.2$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…a058backed No | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…c75fbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…47a0backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9b…1770backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c06…6630backed Yes | 73c | 32.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf3…d285backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bab…4d7dbacked Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…3b32backed Yes | 39c | 28.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94dd…b75bbacked Yes | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e31…fc1bbacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace beat Everton?this page
- Will Everton beat Crystal Palace?Yes won
- Will Everton vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.