Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Zongyu Li vs Daria Khomutsianskaya
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4add9d8046860d15e750b15ffabfa5cc48ea46b4d9a6f5dba21eb87f54d4d4db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zongyu Liof Zongyu Li, Daria Khomutsianskaya
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb38f…5048backed Daria Khomutsianskaya | 54c | 2,171$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Zongyu Li | 51c | 1,005$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.73 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Daria Khomutsianskaya | 20c | 834.55$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.31 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…11d3backed Daria Khomutsianskaya | 43c | 782.98$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.12 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Zongyu Li | 43c | 292.13$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.31 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Daria Khomutsianskaya | 18c | 278.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Zongyu Li | 62c | 209.77$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.71 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Daria Khomutsianskaya | 38c | 199.61$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.37 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Zongyu Li | 21c | 192.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.13 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…a1a6backed Daria Khomutsianskaya | 46c | 191.48$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.08 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Zongyu Li | 41c | 179.23$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.45 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Zongyu Li | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Daria Khomutsianskaya | 78c | 132.2$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.75 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Zongyu Li | 41c | 121.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Daria Khomutsianskaya | 22c | 113.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Daria Khomutsianskaya | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zongyu Li | 54c | 84.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…f39cbacked Daria Khomutsianskaya | 78c | 80.97$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.28per pick | 73cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Zongyu Li | 53c | 79.66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Daria Khomutsianskaya | 45c | 78.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 504 | 42.7%215 W · 289 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked Zongyu Li | 22c | 75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 145 | 31.7%46 W · 99 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff87…f5f7backed Daria Khomutsianskaya | 78c | 75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Zongyu Li | 53c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 209 | 57.9%121 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Zongyu Li | 62c | 52.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Zongyu Li | 42c | 50.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Daria Khomutsianskaya | 44c | 49.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Zongyu Li | 24c | 46.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Daria Khomutsianskaya | 76c | 44.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff66…39cfbacked Zongyu Li | 29c | 42.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Daria Khomutsianskaya | 59c | 42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Zongyu Li | 51c | 38.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Zongyu Li | 48c | 35.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Zongyu Li | 35c | 33.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Zongyu Li | 34c | 33.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1874…5629backed Zongyu Li | 54c | 31.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Zongyu Li | 51c | 27.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Zongyu Li | 47c | 26.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Zongyu Li | 56c | 23.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Zongyu Li | 63c | 23.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 398 | 45.5%181 W · 217 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Zongyu Li | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…e71dbacked Zongyu Li | 66c | 18.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.