Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: SK (-1.5) vs Galions (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b1b46527a537094e1f13a4eebc043c61b145336ec7093dd8f6a0ec70c9199bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galionsof SK Gaming, Galions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Galions | 65c | 6,000$3,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.99 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Galions | 64c | 4,000$2,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.81 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed SK Gaming | 37c | 2,747$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.36 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed SK Gaming | 35c | 2,187$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.51 | 382 | 35.6%136 W · 246 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed SK Gaming | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66d2…4186backed SK Gaming | 39c | 1,250$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.5 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Galions | 61c | 1,157$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.57 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed SK Gaming | 35c | 1,148$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.2 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed SK Gaming | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 428 | 47.9%205 W · 223 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Galions | 61c | 547.67$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.59 | 212 | 49.1%104 W · 108 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed SK Gaming | 35c | 488.57$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed SK Gaming | 34c | 217$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.71 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed SK Gaming | 36c | 155$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Galions | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed SK Gaming | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed SK Gaming | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 206 | 31.6%65 W · 141 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked SK Gaming | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 636 | 46.9%298 W · 338 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked SK Gaming | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…cd9dbacked SK Gaming | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked SK Gaming | 40c | 82.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…e369backed SK Gaming | 37c | 54.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed SK Gaming | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 347 | 43.5%151 W · 196 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed SK Gaming | 35c | 51.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…42ebbacked SK Gaming | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Galions | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed SK Gaming | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked SK Gaming | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Galions | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Galions | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Galions | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: SK (-1.5) vs Galions (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: SK Gaming vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier PlayoffsGalions won
- LoL: SK Gaming vs Galions - Game 1 WinnerGalions won
- LoL: SK Gaming vs Galions - Game 2 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.