MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b506863e35dd902f880b6172a08cc34ea503c947abf5b719e51dee927cbcb4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Under | 56c | 54,263$30,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,384.07 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x861a…1f15backed Over | 44c | 51,346$22,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,753.55 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 54c | 5,227$2,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,822.41 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Over | 42c | 4,589$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,661.78 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Under | 58c | 4,335$2,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,514.15 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 70c | 4,314$3,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.16 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 18c | 2,709$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.68 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.99 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 37c | 1,912$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.44 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 55c | 1,787$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.04 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 73c | 1,729$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.79 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Over | 45c | 1,670$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.33 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 46c | 1,645$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.6 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 44c | 1,503$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.54 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 43c | 1,403$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.21 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Under | 39c | 1,375$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.74 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 56c | 1,372$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.32 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 59c | 1,278$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.89 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 55c | 1,203$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.85 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 46c | 1,031$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.77 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 1,005$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.37 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 44c | 975.37$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.21 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Over | 41c | 960$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.4 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Over | 44c | 932.99$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.85 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Under | 13c | 824.97$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.49 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Under | 56c | 778.88$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.17 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 56c | 778.34$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.28 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 49c | 776.82$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.59 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 18c | 761.57$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.66 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 44c | 753.07$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.72 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 47c | 599.27$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.6 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5746…06cfbacked Over | 46c | 420.89$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.37 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94ba…001dbacked Under | 10c | 401.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | +131%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 63c | 400.05$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.03 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 54c | 382.52$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.56 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Under | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.72 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 55c | 325.45$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.66 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 36c | 320.72$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.67 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 47c | 309$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.77 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 31c | 295$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.62 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 11c | 294.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 66c | 282$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.29 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 39c | 266.45$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.53 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 59c | 249.98$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.45 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 43c | 241.59$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.72 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Under | 52c | 235.29$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.72 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Under | 12c | 225$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 82 | 15.9%13 W · 69 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc621…7c5cbacked Under | 55c | 221.14$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.63 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…c2b6backed Over | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 20c | 214.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.36 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…f61ebacked Under | 55c | 205$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Over | 45c | 187.6$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.18 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under | 46c | 182.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.17 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 54c | 179.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 55c | 179$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.45 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 61c | 161.57$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.72 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 55c | 149.3$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.12 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 45c | 143.14$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Under | 21c | 135.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -10.3wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 40c | 128.55$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.13 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 47c | 123.6$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.51 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Over | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 103.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 45c | 94.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.28 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 54c | 91.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…4013backed Over | 44c | 89.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.34 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 56c | 83.76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362d…0c58backed Under | 52c | 82.43$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 44c | 79.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 43c | 77.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 44c | 73.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 383 | 52.2%200 W · 183 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5b…9c17backed Under | 30c | 63.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Over | 31c | 61.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 63c | 60.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Under | 50c | 59.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 270 | 53.7%145 W · 125 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 45c | 58.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Over | 45c | 58.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 43c | 57.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 37c | 52.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 45c | 51.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…bea0backed Under | 50c | 50.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 63c | 48.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Over | 31c | 46.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 54c | 45.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 30c | 43.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ff…ec82backed Under | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 215 | 54.9%118 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 37c | 39.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Over | 76c | 38.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 65c | 37.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 45c | 35.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 653 | 59.6%389 W · 264 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 64c | 35.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Under | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 74c | 34.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…0db6backed Over | 45c | 31.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x088d…3516backed Over | 45c | 31.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +6.6wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Under | 56c | 30.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…57a9backed Under | 55c | 30.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Under | 56c | 26.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit TigersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.