TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,601
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,909

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,601 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under42c8,827$3,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,676.4323538.3%90 W · 145 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over59c6,522$3,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,647.976,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over57c6,471$3,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,751.341,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under40c4,051$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,625.331,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c2,524$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.215,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over47c2,212$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.192,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over55c1,898$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.0717248.8%84 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under44c1,800$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.0114340.6%58 W · 85 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over57c1,109$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.911,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under55c960.97$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.583,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under48c831.2$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.346,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under45c673.86$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.872,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under48c518.11$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.7949942.9%214 W · 285 L-31.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Under8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016019.4%31 W · 129 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under47c446.56$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.8828350.9%144 W · 139 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over52c415.3$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.52,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under52c410.98$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.979,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under47c393.22$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.3675344.1%332 W · 421 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7b…440fbacked Under4c374.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.97395.1%2 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick3cpaid+33.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Over56c367.05$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.58441.7%35 W · 49 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over55c332.32$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.577247.2%34 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over59c330.64$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.5694034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over61c316.41$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.331,13357.2%648 W · 485 L+35.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Over56c310.24$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.53246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed Under8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246314.3%9 W · 54 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick15cpaid+58.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c298.19$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.156,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over56c279.78$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.11,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under56c274$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.1467742.2%286 W · 391 L-36.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Under8c258$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7210215.7%16 W · 86 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under41c250.47$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.912,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedd1…45a9backed Under8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204619.6%9 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+122.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over62c234.47$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.15,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over58c210.68$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.481,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc987…123abacked Under48c190.83$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.063237.5%12 W · 20 L-5.9wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-26.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Over57c189.12$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.0348850.2%245 W · 243 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under55c182.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.870154.2%380 W · 321 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over59c172.46$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.712,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over58c152.25$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c11…02c8backed Under42c152.25$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.948944.9%40 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under48c145.55$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1982551.6%426 W · 399 L+3.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Under42c142.19$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.251555%283 W · 232 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under52c136.37$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.121,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over53c134.13$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.041,05347.3%498 W · 555 L-14.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over56c127.12$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.931,00058.8%588 W · 412 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc621…7c5cbacked Under50c126.23$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.05825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9752…57a9backed Under44c113.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec3e…11c0backed Under43c112.03$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.179641.7%40 W · 56 L-8.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over56c111.91$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2430750.2%154 W · 153 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under41c102$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.91,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over61c99.51$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.751,14948.9%562 W · 587 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Under43c98.33$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2820044.5%89 W · 111 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Over56c97.36$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.84850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Under41c96.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5578454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Over56c93.26$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.036346%29 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over55c88.54$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.841,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under39c77.05$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.778146.4%362 W · 419 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Over58c76.35$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1947350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under43c74.98$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6127248.5%132 W · 140 L-1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Under22c73.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16527.7%4 W · 48 L-10.3wins-0.20per pick28cpaid-81.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over58c71.98$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2397050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Under44c70.94$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.161,44550.3%727 W · 718 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00ea…4013backed Over56c70.81$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.161747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Over56c58.42$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.711250%56 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd8…d936backed Over59c57.86$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.721258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe67…dd7ebacked Under42c57.45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1312742.5%54 W · 73 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under32c54.66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6647743%205 W · 272 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over55c52.13$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.611,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x362d…0c58backed Under44c50.28$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.015756.1%32 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.51,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under48c49.95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.041,26947.4%602 W · 667 L-31.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Under50c48.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2515858.2%92 W · 66 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under44c46.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.472,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over60c41.66$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.662,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5ad…5a42backed Over59c41.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.954153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over59c41.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.956434.4%22 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ba…0bc3backed Over58c41.04$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.244751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Over46c38.54$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8115037.3%56 W · 94 L-15.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-33.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1193…d9c4backed Over56c37.97$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.712240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32eb…f531backed Over58c35.6$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159562.1%59 W · 36 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c76…2632backed Under42c33.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1424554.7%134 W · 111 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fce…6476backed Over47c33.34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.83562.9%22 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+26.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over54c29.92$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.675,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Over62c29.88$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.341,36754.3%742 W · 625 L+16.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Over58c29.24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.28922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick54cpaid-61%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under42c27.96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7929047.6%138 W · 152 L-11.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under42c26.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1166749.3%329 W · 338 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over59c23.41$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.653,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1496…e155backed Over59c20.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4712050%60 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x28a3…8620backed Over59c19.84$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1332054.1%173 W · 147 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over56c19.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.691,00157.3%574 W · 427 L+2.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfad4…f817backed Over60c19.61$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.891338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cb…3636backed Over59c19.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.948460.7%51 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cdf…31e7backed Over56c18.64$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.23357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Over58c17.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.442462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.