Tennis · resolved market
ITF Sao Paulo: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b5e5689227c59f8d1c2c647db4c5ed9c728151f3443d7dd1343327f17578eb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalezof Martina Capurro Taborda, Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,907
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,907 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbfb…84a6backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 21c | 1,814$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.33 | 128 | 14.1%18 W · 110 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Martina Capurro Taborda | 53c | 1,704$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.93 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 18c | 1,253$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.46 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 15c | 510.03$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.77 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 18c | 493.89$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.99 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 11c | 405.3$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.72 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.33 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 13c | 229.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.71 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 13c | 209.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.35 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Martina Capurro Taborda | 56c | 203.57$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.67 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 18c | 150.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.46 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 18c | 127.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.78 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 18c | 127.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.78 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Martina Capurro Taborda | 78c | 112.7$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.03 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.92 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 24c | 94.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.97 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 18c | 86.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.09 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 31c | 63.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Martina Capurro Taborda | 56c | 58.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…c85cbacked Martina Capurro Taborda | 54c | 55.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Martina Capurro Taborda | 72c | 45.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 31c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…335fbacked Martina Capurro Taborda | 79c | 37.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 242 | 74%179 W · 63 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Martina Capurro Taborda | 79c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Martina Capurro Taborda | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Martina Capurro Taborda | 77c | 17.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Martina Capurro Taborda | 78c | 13.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Martina Capurro Taborda | 77c | 12.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.