Tennis · resolved market
Les Sables d'Olonne: Diana Martynov vs Oceane Dodin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b863aa02f0fef3b19031dd14da83c2677cd787d82e7797bc6ec1297210b421d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Martynovof Martynov, Dodin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Dodin | 66c | 6,140$4,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,072.45 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Martynov | 37c | 4,313$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,738.05 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Martynov | 47c | 4,202$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,223.86 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8082…4d66backed Martynov | 28c | 3,552$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552.13 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Dodin | 64c | 2,908$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.35 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Martynov | 27c | 1,991$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.49 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…17c3backed Dodin | 3c | 1,800$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +6.5wins | +0.32per pick | 13cpaid | +273.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…fa80backed Dodin | 2c | 1,400$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +6.7wins | +0.29per pick | 6cpaid | +304.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Martynov | 42c | 1,179$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.97 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dodin | 62c | 701.16$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.6 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Dodin | 57c | 689.23$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.25 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Dodin | 64c | 605.17$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.43 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Martynov | 16c | 595.45$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.41 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Dodin | 56c | 532.85$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Martynov | 46c | 500$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.41 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Dodin | 31c | 332.88$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Martynov | 36c | 319.35$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.55 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Martynov | 43c | 311.98$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.95 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…3314backed Martynov | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Martynov | 62c | 222$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.27 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Dodin | 63c | 214.18$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.78 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Dodin | 64c | 175.44$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.15 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Martynov | 37c | 137.51$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.93 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a9…6771backed Dodin | 73c | 136.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Martynov | 39c | 134.9$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.12 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Martynov | 40c | 130$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.64 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Martynov | 39c | 119.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.09 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Dodin | 60c | 110.36$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.17 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Martynov | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Martynov | 18c | 99.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.92 | 284 | 24.3%69 W · 215 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Martynov | 43c | 69.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Martynov | 24c | 63.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.21 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…d11fbacked Martynov | 45c | 51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Martynov | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672a…abb7backed Dodin | 60c | 42.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3be…4cd6backed Dodin | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Dodin | 69c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Dodin | 55c | 32.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a63…448cbacked Dodin | 77c | 30.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dodin | 63c | 23.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd8…553cbacked Dodin | 61c | 21.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Martynov | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.