Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bdb8fe8bf080c7a0fd913fdad096a05099a5ae8c1ea6299e421b366628a0501
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SK Sigma Olomoucof 1. FSV Mainz 05, SK Sigma Olomouc
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,609 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa640…d9bbbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 30c | 7,440$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4962…5a8dbacked SK Sigma Olomouc | 74c | 3,689$2,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd59e…87fabacked SK Sigma Olomouc | 70c | 3,529$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SK Sigma Olomouc | 71c | 1,853$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.69 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 27c | 1,249$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.09 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 27c | 174.83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 27c | 156.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 26c | 154.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -21.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 26c | 125$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 27c | 124.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed SK Sigma Olomouc | 72c | 117.87$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed SK Sigma Olomouc | 72c | 88.17$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 32c | 66.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed SK Sigma Olomouc | 72c | 59.74$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 26c | 44.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 160 | 13.1%21 W · 139 L | -18.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed SK Sigma Olomouc | 70c | 40.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 28c | 37.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed SK Sigma Olomouc | 72c | 33.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…b8d3backed SK Sigma Olomouc | 70c | 33.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed SK Sigma Olomouc | 71c | 30.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked SK Sigma Olomouc | 73c | 27.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed SK Sigma Olomouc | 72c | 16.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)this page
- SK Sigma Olomouc vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SK Sigma Olomouc vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 1.5Under won
- SK Sigma Olomouc vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5Under won
- SK Sigma Olomouc vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5Under won
- SK Sigma Olomouc vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.