Europa Conference League · resolved market
SK Sigma Olomouc vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd18fdb9539bc1d6277201e441fd3cb10639317d9f89cb73cf11ab52b45a9334
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,121 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 3,884$2,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.7 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 1,841$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.81 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 35c | 946.53$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 28c | 858.51$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.76 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 67c | 799.87$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.64 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 32c | 750$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 58c | 190.89$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 30c | 185.59$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.3 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 29c | 164.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.96 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…67ebbacked Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 33c | 98.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.16 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 26c | 75.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 16c | 62.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 66c | 61.82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…2709backed Under | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 28c | 58.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.94 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 35c | 55.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 19c | 55.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -82%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Over | 21c | 53.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 36c | 47.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Over | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 29c | 38.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed Under | 30c | 38.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Under | 67c | 38.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Over | 70c | 31.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x767c…dc56backed Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 46c | 28.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…5712backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 48c | 25.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 73c | 23.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 57c | 21.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…fbb1backed Over | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 70cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…41f2backed Over | 68c | 19.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Over | 72c | 17.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SK Sigma Olomouc vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 1.5this page
- SK Sigma Olomouc vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SK Sigma Olomouc vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5Under won
- SK Sigma Olomouc vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5Under won
- SK Sigma Olomouc vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)SK Sigma Olomouc won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.