Europa Conference League · resolved market
SK Sigma Olomouc vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e65a7feb3de8f97b6d571af80d939bd22172eaa45715337e2ef64cf3c910e09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,831 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 2,466$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.88 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 27c | 1,248$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.74 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed No | 53c | 737.48$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.48 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 21c | 677.86$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.35 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84e0…4110backed Yes | 51c | 493.27$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59a…26cabacked No | 49c | 489$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d4…2aa3backed Yes | 51c | 483.06$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…f5b6backed No | 49c | 412$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a1…ecfabacked No | 49c | 392$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…dfddbacked No | 49c | 384$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9369…e5ccbacked Yes | 51c | 380.34$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe366…4fb1backed Yes | 51c | 357.57$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4036…b100backed No | 49c | 347$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d5…afc8backed No | 49c | 340$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…71c4backed Yes | 51c | 333.66$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…5e13backed Yes | 51c | 330.94$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc753…8059backed Yes | 51c | 329.43$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…635abacked No | 49c | 325$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…436abacked No | 49c | 322$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffa…b8abbacked No | 49c | 304.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x831f…3e06backed Yes | 51c | 304.29$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…e546backed Yes | 51c | 302.73$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x603c…583cbacked Yes | 51c | 300.7$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…f95abacked No | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 53c | 275.8$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.18 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 268.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 47c | 214.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x060c…7d36backed No | 54c | 207.41$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3001…4ac2backed Yes | 50c | 201.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +119%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…bc30backed Yes | 53c | 188.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 50c | 176.93$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.13 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed No | 54c | 125$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked No | 53c | 120.38$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ea…1c3fbacked Yes | 49c | 97.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked No | 54c | 88.79$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 49c | 84.73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 47c | 74.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 50c | 65.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes | 47c | 50.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…fa2dbacked Yes | 51c | 49.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 51c | 48.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 49c | 36.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 49c | 36.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed No | 53c | 33.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…228ebacked No | 53c | 32.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 52c | 29.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…3129backed Yes | 48c | 29.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 50c | 24.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…6bcebacked Yes | 51c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 49c | 22.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…edf0backed No | 50c | 22.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4063…1d26backed Yes | 48c | 22.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 50c | 20.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…76d2backed No | 54c | 18.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SK Sigma Olomouc vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SK Sigma Olomouc vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 1.5Under won
- SK Sigma Olomouc vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5Under won
- SK Sigma Olomouc vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5Under won
- SK Sigma Olomouc vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)SK Sigma Olomouc won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.