Tennis · resolved market
Chile Open, Qualification: Vilius Gaubas vs Joao Lucas Da Silva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c7b9e0d185b49b9dbc615249843e07e2ff3ae39fa07eb13a60d59ce8aea252c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gaubasof Gaubas, Silva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Silva | 16c | 6,834$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.17 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Silva | 9c | 6,000$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.35 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f8bcbacked Silva | 30c | 4,728$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.42 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Silva | 4c | 3,153$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.19 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Silva | 10c | 1,993$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.21 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Gaubas | 59c | 1,749$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.42 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Silva | 5c | 962.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…6040backed Silva | 45c | 703.97$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Silva | 42c | 638.26$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.07 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Silva | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Gaubas | 74c | 511.41$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.11 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Silva | 24c | 458.37$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.94 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Silva | 5c | 457.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…442cbacked Silva | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Silva | 16c | 321.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Silva | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.21 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Gaubas | 74c | 269.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.65 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Silva | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Silva | 49c | 202.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Silva | 34c | 176.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.17 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Gaubas | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Silva | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Silva | 7c | 150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Gaubas | 75c | 146.26$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb127…b8a2backed Gaubas | 71c | 139.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Gaubas | 78c | 133.24$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Gaubas | 71c | 124.22$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Silva | 28c | 109.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Silva | 22c | 108$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Gaubas | 60c | 105$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Gaubas | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Gaubas | 66c | 97.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Gaubas | 54c | 93.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b0…02c6backed Silva | 13c | 91.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 80 | 7.5%6 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Gaubas | 73c | 68.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Gaubas | 76c | 65.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Gaubas | 70c | 60.4$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Gaubas | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 333 | 64.9%216 W · 117 L | -19.4wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6c…1c75backed Gaubas | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Gaubas | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Gaubas | 70c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Gaubas | 74c | 31.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Gaubas | 75c | 28.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Gaubas | 56c | 20.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Gaubas | 69c | 19.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 206 | 64.1%132 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Gaubas | 76c | 17.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Gaubas | 69c | 17.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Gaubas | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chile Open, Qualification: Vilius Gaubas vs Joao Lucas Da Silvathis page
- Set Handicap: Gaubas (-1.5) vs Silva (+1.5)Gaubas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.