Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: GIANTX GC vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d1b90c1d8d59917c2fa4742ff995a38f62dc1ac66ee86540abcb7ae81c2cf1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SK Nebulaof GIANTX GC, SK Nebula
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked GIANTX GC | 48c | 5,233$2,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,535.34 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed SK Nebula | 50c | 2,324$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.38 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed GIANTX GC | 49c | 1,113$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.52 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed SK Nebula | 54c | 792.13$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.13 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed SK Nebula | 50c | 544.47$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.31 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed SK Nebula | 50c | 426.4$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.2 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed SK Nebula | 51c | 421.76$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked SK Nebula | 52c | 321.96$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.8 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked SK Nebula | 50c | 303$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.5 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…5393backed SK Nebula | 52c | 290$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.5 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed GIANTX GC | 50c | 261$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed SK Nebula | 50c | 199$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.5 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked SK Nebula | 55c | 192.73$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.73 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bfd8backed GIANTX GC | 51c | 189.45$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.62 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e6…59dbbacked SK Nebula | 50c | 177.59$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked SK Nebula | 50c | 171.52$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SK Nebula | 65c | 163.84$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.92 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0d…a507backed SK Nebula | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed GIANTX GC | 50c | 139.77$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 256 | 60.9%156 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked SK Nebula | 58c | 135.02$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.75 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed GIANTX GC | 40c | 133.92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 160 | 41.9%67 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9803…0242backed SK Nebula | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 131 | 58%76 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4812…8f34backed SK Nebula | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x045a…b9a4backed SK Nebula | 50c | 106.74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.37 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed GIANTX GC | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked GIANTX GC | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed SK Nebula | 53c | 93.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.06 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +15.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e51…71d4backed SK Nebula | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked SK Nebula | 49c | 87.06$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked SK Nebula | 49c | 81.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…ad11backed GIANTX GC | 34c | 76.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…381fbacked SK Nebula | 50c | 61.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed GIANTX GC | 54c | 55.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed GIANTX GC | 42c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8b58…3474backed GIANTX GC | 52c | 53.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…af56backed GIANTX GC | 54c | 51.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked SK Nebula | 50c | 50.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed SK Nebula | 55c | 49.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked SK Nebula | 31c | 47.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…07cabacked GIANTX GC | 65c | 46.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 151 | 60.3%91 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed SK Nebula | 71c | 44.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…cbaebacked GIANTX GC | 51c | 44.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…db9cbacked SK Nebula | 50c | 43.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed SK Nebula | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 89 | 66.3%59 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7718…2252backed SK Nebula | 54c | 28.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0550…39e0backed GIANTX GC | 42c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked SK Nebula | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +12.2wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed SK Nebula | 58c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked SK Nebula | 55c | 20.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed SK Nebula | 52c | 19.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: GIANTX GC vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagethis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: SK.N (-1.5) vs GIANTX GC (+1.5)SK Nebula won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.