CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: GameSport vs mellren - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e879be01ce0802a7988f196b697fb89f8fe01b866e93928fd565ec81dec6278
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- mellrenof GameSport, mellren
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked GameSport | 49c | 1,264$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.77 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked GameSport | 45c | 1,046$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.63 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed GameSport | 60c | 780.76$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.71 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3df3…1411backed mellren | 50c | 726.02$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.24 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed mellren | 40c | 481.37$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.86 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed GameSport | 30c | 481.04$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.61 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…3952backed mellren | 57c | 471.57$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.59 | 141 | 39.7%56 W · 85 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked GameSport | 38c | 451.83$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.59 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…a1e5backed mellren | 35c | 440.55$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.62 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf43f…6c9dbacked mellren | 43c | 385$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.55 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…9a43backed mellren | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.43 | 85 | 70.6%60 W · 25 L | +18.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked GameSport | 56c | 298.89$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.07 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed GameSport | 47c | 298$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.14 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed mellren | 42c | 278.17$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.67 | 218 | 45.9%100 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed mellren | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.3 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked GameSport | 40c | 247.35$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked GameSport | 55c | 196.25$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.51 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb140…ce3dbacked mellren | 55c | 144.31$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.31 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked GameSport | 25c | 138.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed mellren | 31c | 119$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.52 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5657…42a6backed mellren | 39c | 102.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.43 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked GameSport | 38c | 97.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked mellren | 42c | 92.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 306 | 38.9%119 W · 187 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed GameSport | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a30…7039backed mellren | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…1071backed mellren | 33c | 59.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.09 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…f5d4backed mellren | 34c | 58.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…a618backed mellren | 35c | 56.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked mellren | 36c | 54.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed GameSport | 55c | 50.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…c297backed mellren | 44c | 50.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed mellren | 42c | 47.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked GameSport | 64c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed mellren | 55c | 44.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked GameSport | 45c | 40.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed GameSport | 63c | 36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed mellren | 35c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed GameSport | 29c | 34.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked GameSport | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked GameSport | 40c | 28.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x599e…6578backed mellren | 53c | 28.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed mellren | 55c | 27.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked GameSport | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed GameSport | 55c | 24.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked mellren | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked mellren | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed GameSport | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: GameSport vs mellren - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: GameSport vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #7 Playoffsmellren won
- Counter-Strike: GameSport vs mellren - Map 2 Winnermellren won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.