CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: GameSport vs mellren - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94c18693cd01a43f2dc758b2de48b487528279d9463e60828b7838809391463f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- mellrenof GameSport, mellren
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf43f…6c9dbacked mellren | 71c | 2,389$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.87 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…37c3backed mellren | 67c | 1,877$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.29 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed GameSport | 29c | 1,733$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.51 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed GameSport | 34c | 1,070$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.35 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked GameSport | 31c | 688.59$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.79 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed GameSport | 33c | 643.21$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.6 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed mellren | 73c | 501.1$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.53 | 218 | 45.9%100 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed mellren | 56c | 490.58$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.51 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed GameSport | 37c | 428$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.15 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked GameSport | 36c | 396.66$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.9 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed GameSport | 40c | 370$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.15 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked GameSport | 23c | 369.13$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.9 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed GameSport | 42c | 365$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.1 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…a1e5backed GameSport | 39c | 357$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.94 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed GameSport | 36c | 327.31$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.45 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…9a43backed GameSport | 50c | 282.89$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.45 | 85 | 70.6%60 W · 25 L | +18.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked GameSport | 34c | 257.58$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.58 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5657…42a6backed GameSport | 39c | 238.02$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.43 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed GameSport | 29c | 220.65$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.01 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df3…1411backed GameSport | 42c | 200.34$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.9 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed GameSport | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked GameSport | 29c | 195.1$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…af79backed GameSport | 63c | 190.37$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…3952backed GameSport | 45c | 188.72$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 141 | 39.7%56 W · 85 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked mellren | 58c | 176.3$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.7 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed GameSport | 34c | 162.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked GameSport | 26c | 155.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked GameSport | 46c | 150.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked mellren | 68c | 144.59$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked GameSport | 36c | 129$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked mellren | 70c | 123.63$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed GameSport | 35c | 121$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked GameSport | 35c | 102.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed mellren | 59c | 93.2$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…43d3backed mellren | 62c | 85.65$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed GameSport | 27c | 81.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked GameSport | 42c | 58.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed mellren | 47c | 51.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked GameSport | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed GameSport | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed GameSport | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked GameSport | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…f5d4backed GameSport | 53c | 37.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…a618backed GameSport | 54c | 37.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked GameSport | 54c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…8c32backed GameSport | 37c | 35.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed mellren | 62c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked GameSport | 33c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked GameSport | 33c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed GameSport | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed mellren | 66c | 25.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…cbc6backed mellren | 59c | 23.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb6…052dbacked mellren | 59c | 23.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd069…d078backed GameSport | 50c | 23.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed mellren | 67c | 19.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: GameSport vs mellren - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: GameSport vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #7 Playoffsmellren won
- Counter-Strike: GameSport vs mellren - Map 1 Winnermellren won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.